LAR · IR — Ankle — Week 9 at WAS, who allow the 2nd-most points to TEs — recently George Kittle put up 12.9 on them (W6), Eli Stowers put up 5.3 on them (W8).
Terrance Ferguson projects 5.6 PPR points in week 9 at WAS — the 2nd-ranked matchup for TEs, averaging 9.6 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at TE — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs WAS: 260 passing yards a game allowed (7.19/attempt) · 2.1 TDs/gm through the air · 0.6 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 2nd-most fantasy points allowed to TEs. Receipts and the full profile: how WAS defends TEs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 3 games): 45% offensive snaps · 4 targets/game, 12.6% target share · 8.6% air-yard share (aDOT 6.6) · 2.3 catches for 21 yards/game, 1 TD. 2025 baseline (11 games): 36.7% offensive snaps, 2.3 targets/game, 6.5% target share, 11.7% air-yard share (aDOT 18.6), 1 catches for 21 yards/game, 3 TD. (2025) TD luck: 3 scored vs 4.3 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 1.4 · median 3.5 · ceiling 9.7 — 10% chance of 10+, 3% of 15+, 0% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Terrance Ferguson in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | @ WAS | Sun, Nov 8 | 3.7 | 4.6 | 5.6 | 2nd · soft |
| W10 | @ ARI | Sun, Nov 15 | 3.4 | 4.2 | 5.0 | 8th · soft |
| W12 | vs GB | Wed, Nov 25 | 3.0 | 3.8 | 4.6 | 31st · tough |
| W13 | vs KC | Thu, Dec 3 | 2.7 | 3.5 | 4.3 | 6th · soft |
| W14 | @ SF | Sun, Dec 13 | 2.8 | 3.6 | 4.3 | 25th · tough |
| W15 | vs DAL | Sun, Dec 20 | 3.3 | 4.1 | 5.0 | 19th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W3 | DEN | 1/2 rec, 9 yd | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.9 |
| W2 | NYG | 6/9 rec, 54 yd, 1 TD | 11.4 | 14.4 | 17.4 |