CAR — Week 2 at ATL, who allow the 25th-most points to WRs — recently Michael Pittman put up 5.8 on them (W1).
10.5 PPR points against CHI on 5/8 rec, 75 yd · 1 fum — missed his 14.0 projection by 3.5. The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Tetairoa McMillan projects 14.6 PPR points in week 2 at ATL — the 25th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 10.5 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs ATL: 221 passing yards a game allowed (5.53/attempt) · 1 TDs/gm through the air · 0 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 25th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how ATL defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 82% offensive snaps · 9 targets/game, 27.4% target share · 37.5% air-yard share (aDOT 13.9) · 5 catches for 88 yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (17 games): 87.2% offensive snaps, 7.2 targets/game, 25.7% target share, 45.9% air-yard share (aDOT 11.6), 4.1 catches for 59.6 yards/game, 7 TD. (2025) TD luck: 7 scored vs 6.3 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 4.3 · median 11.4 · ceiling 22 — 58% chance of 10+, 33% of 15+, 15% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Tetairoa McMillan in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | @ ATL | Sun, Sep 20 | 10.1 | 12.4 | 14.6 | 25th · tough |
| W3 | @ CLE | Sun, Sep 27 | 9.8 | 12.0 | 14.2 | 2nd · soft |
| W4 | vs DET | Sun, Oct 4 | 9.7 | 12.0 | 14.3 | 3rd · soft |
| W6 | @ PHI | Sun, Oct 18 | 8.3 | 10.4 | 12.4 | 9th |
| W7 | vs TB | Sun, Oct 25 | 10.3 | 12.7 | 15.0 | 27th · tough |
| W8 | @ GB | Thu, Oct 29 | 9.9 | 12.3 | 14.7 | 12th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | CHI | 5/8 rec, 75 yd · 1 fum | 5.5 | 8.0 | 10.5 |