TB — Week 2 vs CLE, who allow the 2nd-most points to WRs — recently Parker Washington put up 14.3 on them (W1).
-0.4 PPR points against CIN on 1 car, -4 yd · 0/1 rec, 0 yd — missed his 2.7 projection by 3.1. The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Tez Johnson projects 1.7 PPR points in week 2 vs CLE — the 2nd-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging -0.4 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs CLE: 245 passing yards a game allowed (10.65/attempt) · 4 TDs/gm through the air · 0 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 2nd-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how CLE defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 23% offensive snaps · 2.5 targets/game, 7.9% target share · 21.2% air-yard share (aDOT 32.2) · 0.5 catches for 24.5 yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (15 games): 47.1% offensive snaps, 2.9 targets/game, 9.2% target share, 13.8% air-yard share (aDOT 11.7), 1.9 catches for 21.5 yards/game, 5 TD. (2025) TD luck: 5 scored vs 2.6 expected — over expectation, regression risk. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Tez Johnson in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | vs CLE | Sun, Sep 20 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2nd · soft |
| W3 | vs MIN | Sun, Sep 27 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1st · soft |
| W4 | vs GB | Sun, Oct 4 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 12th |
| W5 | @ DAL | Thu, Oct 8 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 26th · tough |
| W6 | vs PIT | Sun, Oct 18 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 32nd · tough |
| W7 | @ CAR | Sun, Oct 25 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 10th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | CIN | 1 car, -4 yd · 0/1 rec, 0 yd | -0.4 | -0.4 | -0.4 |