NYG — Week 9 at PHI, who allow the 29th-most points to TEs — recently Brevyn Spann-Ford put up 1.1 on them (W7), Chig Okonkwo put up 1.2 on them (W8).
Theo Johnson projects 2.8 PPR points in week 9 at PHI — the 29th-ranked matchup for TEs, averaging 5.2 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at TE — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs PHI: 244 passing yards a game allowed (7.15/attempt) · 1.5 TDs/gm through the air · 0.4 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 29th-most fantasy points allowed to TEs. Receipts and the full profile: how PHI defends TEs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 12% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 4 games): 34.4% offensive snaps · 2.3 targets/game, 6.3% target share · 6.5% air-yard share (aDOT 10.8) · 1 catches for 13.8 yards/game, 1 TD. 2025 baseline (15 games): 86.7% offensive snaps, 4.9 targets/game, 17.2% target share, 16.6% air-yard share (aDOT 8.3), 3 catches for 35.2 yards/game, 5 TD. (2026) TD luck: 1 scored vs 0.9 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Theo Johnson in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | @ PHI | Sun, Nov 8 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 29th · tough |
| W10 | vs WAS | Thu, Nov 12 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 3.2 | 2nd · soft |
| W11 | vs JAX | Sun, Nov 22 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 2.9 | 23rd |
| W12 | @ IND | Sun, Nov 29 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 2.9 | 5th · soft |
| W13 | vs SF | Sun, Dec 6 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 25th · tough |
| W14 | @ SEA | Sun, Dec 13 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 30th · tough |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W5 | WAS | 2/3 rec, 35 yd | 3.5 | 4.5 | 5.5 |
| W4 | ARI | 1/1 rec, 11 yd, 1 TD | 7.1 | 7.6 | 8.1 |
| W1 | DAL | 1/1 rec, 9 yd | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.9 |