NYJ — Week 8 vs LV, who allow the 11th-most points to WRs — recently Keon Coleman put up 11.9 on them (W6), Puka Nacua put up 13.8 on them (W7).
Tim Patrick projects 1.2 PPR points in week 8 vs LV — the 11th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 3.6 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 8 angle vs LV: 245.1 passing yards a game allowed (7.73/attempt) · 2.3 TDs/gm through the air · 0.8 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 11th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how LV defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 8): 6% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 58% offensive snaps · 3 targets/game, 10.3% target share · 12.2% air-yard share (aDOT 7.7) · 1.5 catches for 20.5 yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (13 games): 31.8% offensive snaps, 1.8 targets/game, 6.2% target share, 6.9% air-yard share (aDOT 10.8), 1.2 catches for 14.4 yards/game, 3 TD. (2025) TD luck: 3 scored vs 2.8 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Tim Patrick in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | vs LV | Sun, Nov 1 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 11th |
| W9 | @ KC | Sun, Nov 8 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 31st · tough |
| W10 | vs BUF | Sun, Nov 15 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1st · soft |
| W11 | @ LAC | Sun, Nov 22 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 20th |
| W12 | @ MIA | Sun, Nov 29 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 30th · tough |
| W14 | vs DEN | Sun, Dec 13 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 27th · tough |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W6 | NE | 1/3 rec, 15 yd | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.5 |
| W5 | CLE | 2/3 rec, 26 yd | 2.6 | 3.6 | 4.6 |