Tommy Tremble TE

CAR — Week 1 vs CHI, who allow the 18th-most points to TEs — recently Jake Tonges put up 12 on them (W17), Anthony Firkser put up 0.2 on them (W18).

Should you start Tommy Tremble this week?

Tommy Tremble projects 2.2 PPR points in week 1 vs CHI — the 18th-ranked matchup for TEs, averaging 5.3 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at TE — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.

The week 1 angle vs CHI: 239.2 passing yards a game allowed (7.63/attempt) · 1.9 TDs/gm through the air · 1.4 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 18th-most fantasy points allowed to TEs. Receipts and the full profile: how CHI defends TEs, linked under The matchup below.

→ Holding steady

→ snaps/gm 38.4 → 34.5 (-10%) · → target share % 9.1 → 10.3 (+13%)

Trend reads volume — snaps, targets and carries — not fantasy points, which swing on touchdowns.

Week 1 proj

2.2

PPR · 1.3 std

Matchup

18th

CHI vs TEs

Form

5.3

PPR pts/gm, last 3 played

What Vegas expects (week 1): 15% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.

Usage & TD luck (2025): 60.1% offensive snaps · 9.1% target share · 5.8% air-yard share (aDOT 4.4). TD luck: 2 scored vs 1.1 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.

Compare Tommy Tremble in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer

Upcoming schedule & projections

Wk	Opp		Std	½ PPR	PPR	Matchup
W1	vs CHI	Sun, Sep 13	1.3	1.8	2.2	18th
W2	@ ATL	Sun, Sep 20	1.3	1.7	2.2	27th · tough
W3	@ CLE	Sun, Sep 27	1.3	1.7	2.2	23rd
W4	vs DET	Sun, Oct 4	1.3	1.7	2.2	15th
W6	@ PHI	Sun, Oct 18	1.2	1.7	2.2	32nd · tough
W7	vs TB	Sun, Oct 25	1.3	1.7	2.2	7th · soft

The matchup

How CHI defends TEs →

2025 game log

Wk	Opp		Std	½ PPR	PPR
W18	TB	3/4 rec, 38 yd, 1 TD	9.8	11.3	12.8
W17	SEA	1/1 rec, 6 yd	0.6	1.1	1.6
W16	TB	1/1 rec, 6 yd	0.6	1.1	1.6
W15	NO	2/4 rec, 13 yd	1.3	2.3	3.3
W13	LAR	1/2 rec, 2 yd	0.2	0.7	1.2
W11	ATL	1/2 rec, 54 yd	5.4	5.9	6.4
W8	BUF	1/1 rec, 4 yd	0.4	0.9	1.4
W6	DAL	4/4 rec, 39 yd	3.9	5.9	7.9
W5	MIA	1/2 rec, 7 yd	0.7	1.2	1.7
W4	NE	5/8 rec, 42 yd, 1 TD	10.2	12.7	15.2
W3	ATL	2/2 rec, 16 yd	1.6	2.6	3.6
W2	ARI	3/3 rec, 20 yd	2.0	3.5	5.0
W1	JAX	1/1 rec, 2 yd	0.2	0.7	1.2

Game logs, matchup ranks and form are the 2025 season — 2026 hasn’t kicked off. Projections, schedule and trade values are current 2026 numbers, refreshed nightly. Matchup ranks read 1–32, where 1st allows the most points to the position — the matchup you want.