TEN — Week 10 vs JAX, who allow the 32nd-most points to RBs — recently Jawhar Jordan put up 11 on them (W6), DJ Giddens put up 4.3 on them (W8).
28.7 PPR points against CIN on 21 car, 117 yd, 2 TD · 3/5 rec, 20 yd — beat his 14.3 projection by 14.4. The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Tony Pollard projects 8.9 PPR points in week 10 vs JAX — the 32nd-ranked matchup for RBs, averaging 24.3 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at RB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs JAX: 77.4 rushing yards a game allowed at 3.39 a carry · 0.6 rushing TDs/gm — all of it adding up to the 32nd-most fantasy points allowed to RBs. Receipts and the full profile: how JAX defends RBs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 8 games): 61.8% offensive snaps · 16.6 carries/game (70.4% of team carries) · 76.6% of the backfield's touches · 2.6 targets/game, 8.6% target share · 74.4 rushing and 8.8 receiving yards/game, 6 TD. 2025 baseline (17 games): 62.5% offensive snaps, 14.2 carries/game (64% of team carries), 67.2% of the backfield's touches, 2.4 targets/game, 7.6% target share, 63.6 rushing and 12.1 receiving yards/game, 5 TD. (2026) TD luck: 6 scored vs 5.8 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Tony Pollard in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W10 | vs JAX | Sun, Nov 15 | 7.2 | 8.1 | 8.9 | 32nd · tough |
| W11 | @ DAL | Sun, Nov 22 | 8.9 | 9.8 | 10.6 | 3rd · soft |
| W12 | @ JAX | Sun, Nov 29 | 7.1 | 8.0 | 8.8 | 32nd · tough |
| W13 | vs WAS | Sun, Dec 6 | 8.3 | 9.1 | 10.0 | 26th · tough |
| W14 | @ DET | Sun, Dec 13 | 9.2 | 10.1 | 11.0 | 29th · tough |
| W15 | vs IND | Sun, Dec 20 | 8.9 | 9.7 | 10.5 | 5th · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | CIN | 21 car, 117 yd, 2 TD · 3/5 rec, 20 yd | 25.7 | 27.2 | 28.7 |
| W7 | CLE | 25 car, 129 yd, 3 TD · 3/3 rec, 26 yd | 33.5 | 35.0 | 36.5 |
| W6 | IND | 19 car, 76 yd · 0/1 rec, 0 yd | 7.6 | 7.6 | 7.6 |
| W5 | HOU | 14 car, 52 yd · 0/1 rec, 0 yd | 5.2 | 5.2 | 5.2 |
| W4 | BAL | 16 car, 48 yd, 1 TD · 2/4 rec, 2 yd | 11.0 | 12.0 | 13.0 |
| W3 | NYG | 17 car, 74 yd · 4/4 rec, 22 yd | 9.6 | 11.6 | 13.6 |
| W2 | PHI | 14 car, 64 yd · 1/1 rec, 1 yd | 6.5 | 7.0 | 7.5 |
| W1 | NYJ | 7 car, 35 yd · 1/2 rec, -1 yd | 3.4 | 3.9 | 4.4 |