LAC — Week 9 vs HOU, who allow the 4th-most points to WRs — recently Jakobi Meyers put up 8.3 on them (W6), Malik Nabers put up 11.1 on them (W7).
6.1 PPR points against LAR on 3/3 rec, 31 yd — right on his 6.6 projection (-0.5). The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Tre' Harris projects 5.1 PPR points in week 9 vs HOU — the 4th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 6.2 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs HOU: 262.7 passing yards a game allowed (7.48/attempt) · 1.4 TDs/gm through the air · 0.4 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 4th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how HOU defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 27.5 receiving yards · 19% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 6 games): 67.3% offensive snaps · 4.7 targets/game, 16.7% target share · 21.6% air-yard share (aDOT 10.8) · 3 catches for 42.7 yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (16 games): 48.5% offensive snaps, 2.7 targets/game, 9.1% target share, 8.9% air-yard share (aDOT 9.3), 1.9 catches for 20.3 yards/game, 1 TD. (2026) TD luck: 0 scored vs 0.5 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 1.6 · median 3.3 · ceiling 7.7 — 5% chance of 10+, 0% of 15+, 0% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Tre' Harris in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | vs HOU | Sun, Nov 8 | 3.2 | 4.1 | 5.1 | 4th · soft |
| W10 | @ BAL | Mon, Nov 16 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 4.9 | 10th |
| W11 | vs NYJ | Sun, Nov 22 | 3.1 | 4.0 | 4.9 | 21st |
| W12 | vs NE | Sun, Nov 29 | 2.8 | 3.8 | 4.7 | 11th |
| W13 | @ TB | Sun, Dec 6 | 3.2 | 4.2 | 5.2 | 26th · tough |
| W14 | @ LV | Sun, Dec 13 | 3.2 | 4.1 | 5.1 | 8th · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | LAR | 3/3 rec, 31 yd | 3.1 | 4.6 | 6.1 |
| W5 | DEN | 2/4 rec, 16 yd | 1.6 | 2.6 | 3.6 |
| W4 | SEA | 0/1, 0 pass yd · 3/5 rec, 60 yd | 6.0 | 7.5 | 9.0 |
| W3 | BUF | 6/7 rec, 76 yd | 7.6 | 10.6 | 13.6 |
| W2 | LV | 1/3 rec, 53 yd | 5.3 | 5.8 | 6.3 |
| W1 | ARI | 3/6 rec, 20 yd | 2.0 | 3.5 | 5.0 |