WAS · Questionable — Foot — Week 8 vs PHI, who allow the 2nd-most points to WRs — recently Jalen Coker put up 9.7 on them (W6), CeeDee Lamb put up 19.4 on them (W7).
Treylon Burks projects 5.3 PPR points in week 8 vs PHI — the 2nd-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 9 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 8 angle vs PHI: 247.9 passing yards a game allowed (7.11/attempt) · 1.6 TDs/gm through the air · 0.4 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 2nd-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how PHI defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 8): 29.5 receiving yards · 18% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 5 games): 50.6% offensive snaps · 3.4 targets/game, 11.4% target share · 19.3% air-yard share (aDOT 17.1) · 1.8 catches for 30.4 yards/game, 2 TD. 2025 baseline (8 games): 60.1% offensive snaps, 2.8 targets/game, 12.5% target share, 17.4% air-yard share (aDOT 13.5), 1.3 catches for 16.3 yards/game, 1 TD. (2026) TD luck: 2 scored vs 1.5 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 8 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 1.5 · median 3.5 · ceiling 8.8 — 8% chance of 10+, 1% of 15+, 0% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Treylon Burks in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | vs PHI | Sun, Nov 1 | 3.7 | 4.5 | 5.3 | 2nd · soft |
| W9 | vs LAR | Sun, Nov 8 | 3.7 | 4.5 | 5.3 | 23rd |
| W10 | @ NYG | Thu, Nov 12 | 3.7 | 4.6 | 5.5 | 17th |
| W11 | vs CIN | Mon, Nov 23 | 4.0 | 4.8 | 5.7 | 15th |
| W12 | @ ARI | Sun, Nov 29 | 4.3 | 5.1 | 6.0 | 5th · soft |
| W13 | @ TEN | Sun, Dec 6 | 3.9 | 4.8 | 5.8 | 10th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W6 | SF | 4/6 rec, 66 yd | 6.6 | 8.6 | 10.6 |
| W5 | NYG | 2/5 rec, 26 yd | 2.6 | 3.6 | 4.6 |
| W4 | IND | 1/3 rec, 47 yd, 1 TD | 10.7 | 11.2 | 11.7 |
| W3 | SEA | 2/2 rec, 13 yd, 1 TD | 7.3 | 8.3 | 9.3 |