WAS — Week 1 at PHI, who allow the 30th-most points to WRs — recently Brandin Cooks put up 10.1 on them (W17), Terry McLaurin put up 5.7 on them (W18).
Treylon Burks projects 2.0 PPR points in week 1 at PHI — the 30th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 3.4 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 1 angle vs PHI: 204.5 passing yards a game allowed (6.41/attempt) · 0.8 TDs/gm through the air · 0.7 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 30th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how PHI defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 1): 11% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2025): 60.1% offensive snaps · 12.5% target share · 17.4% air-yard share (aDOT 13.5). TD luck: 1 scored vs 2.1 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Treylon Burks in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | @ PHI | Sun, Sep 13 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 30th · tough |
| W2 | @ DAL | Sun, Sep 20 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1st · soft |
| W3 | vs SEA | Sun, Sep 27 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 29th · tough |
| W4 | vs IND | Sun, Oct 4 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 7th · soft |
| W5 | vs NYG | Sun, Oct 11 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 10th |
| W6 | @ SF | Mon, Oct 19 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 13th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W18 | PHI | 2/4 rec, 12 yd | 1.2 | 2.2 | 3.2 |
| W17 | DAL | 1/2 rec, 11 yd | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2.1 |
| W16 | PHI | 2/5 rec, 30 yd | 3.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 |
| W13 | DEN | 1/4 rec, 5 yd, 1 TD | 6.5 | 7.0 | 7.5 |
| W10 | DET | 3/3 rec, 58 yd | 5.8 | 7.3 | 8.8 |
| W9 | SEA | 1/1 rec, 14 yd | 1.4 | 1.9 | 2.4 |