GB — Week 9 at NE, who allow the 24th-most points to TEs — recently Colston Loveland put up 12.9 on them (W7), Greg Dulcich put up 4.3 on them (W8).
17.3 PPR points against CAR on 6/6 rec, 53 yd, 1 TD — beat his 10.9 projection by 6.4. The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Tucker Kraft projects 11.8 PPR points in week 9 at NE — the 24th-ranked matchup for TEs, averaging 13.6 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at TE — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs NE: 235.5 passing yards a game allowed (7.33/attempt) · 1.4 TDs/gm through the air · 0.6 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 24th-most fantasy points allowed to TEs. Receipts and the full profile: how NE defends TEs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 49.5 receiving yards · 26% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 8 games): 82.7% offensive snaps · 6.1 targets/game, 16.3% target share · 8.8% air-yard share (aDOT 5.7) · 4.4 catches for 43.8 yards/game, 3 TD. 2025 baseline (8 games): 86% offensive snaps, 5.5 targets/game, 19% target share, 9.6% air-yard share (aDOT 4.6), 4 catches for 61.1 yards/game, 6 TD. (2026) TD luck: 3 scored vs 3.3 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 3.1 · median 8.2 · ceiling 17.1 — 39% chance of 10+, 17% of 15+, 4% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Tucker Kraft in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | @ NE | Sun, Nov 8 | 6.9 | 9.3 | 11.8 | 24th |
| W10 | vs MIN | Sun, Nov 15 | 6.2 | 8.3 | 10.3 | 32nd · tough |
| W12 | @ LAR | Wed, Nov 25 | 6.5 | 8.5 | 10.6 | 27th · tough |
| W13 | @ NO | Sun, Dec 6 | 6.9 | 9.1 | 11.4 | 7th · soft |
| W14 | vs BUF | Sun, Dec 13 | 6.8 | 8.8 | 10.9 | 14th |
| W15 | vs MIA | Sun, Dec 20 | 8.0 | 10.4 | 12.9 | 3rd · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | CAR | 6/6 rec, 53 yd, 1 TD | 11.3 | 14.3 | 17.3 |
| W7 | DET | 4/6 rec, 48 yd, 1 TD | 10.8 | 12.8 | 14.8 |
| W6 | DAL | 5/8 rec, 37 yd | 3.7 | 6.2 | 8.7 |
| W5 | CHI | 1 car, 2 yd · 5/5 rec, 64 yd | 6.6 | 9.1 | 11.6 |
| W4 | TB | 1 car, 3 yd · 6/7 rec, 42 yd, 1 TD | 10.5 | 13.5 | 16.5 |
| W3 | ATL | 4/8 rec, 26 yd | 2.6 | 4.6 | 6.6 |
| W2 | NYJ | 2/3 rec, 15 yd | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 |
| W1 | MIN | 3/6 rec, 65 yd | 6.5 | 8.0 | 9.5 |