GB — Week 2 at NYJ, who allow the 23rd-most points to TEs — recently Gunnar Helm put up 2.8 on them (W1).
9.5 PPR points against MIN on 3/6 rec, 65 yd — right on his 10.9 projection (-1.4). The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Tucker Kraft projects 11.9 PPR points in week 2 at NYJ — the 23rd-ranked matchup for TEs, averaging 9.5 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at TE — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs NYJ: 140 passing yards a game allowed (4.38/attempt) · 1 TDs/gm through the air · 0 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 23rd-most fantasy points allowed to TEs. Receipts and the full profile: how NYJ defends TEs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 66% offensive snaps · 4.5 targets/game, 12.7% target share · 11.1% air-yard share (aDOT 10.2) · 2.5 catches for 40 yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (8 games): 86% offensive snaps, 5.5 targets/game, 19% target share, 9.6% air-yard share (aDOT 4.6), 4 catches for 61.1 yards/game, 6 TD. (2025) TD luck: 6 scored vs 1.9 expected — over expectation, regression risk. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 2.7 · median 8.8 · ceiling 18.4 — 42% chance of 10+, 20% of 15+, 8% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Tucker Kraft in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | @ NYJ | Sun, Sep 20 | 8.0 | 9.9 | 11.9 | 23rd |
| W3 | vs ATL | Thu, Sep 24 | 8.2 | 10.2 | 12.2 | 7th · soft |
| W4 | @ TB | Sun, Oct 4 | 8.9 | 11.1 | 13.3 | 4th · soft |
| W5 | vs CHI | Sun, Oct 11 | 9.1 | 11.4 | 13.6 | 20th |
| W6 | vs DAL | Sun, Oct 18 | 9.5 | 11.8 | 14.1 | 1st · soft |
| W7 | @ DET | Sun, Oct 25 | 8.4 | 10.6 | 12.8 | 2nd · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | MIN | 3/6 rec, 65 yd | 6.5 | 8.0 | 9.5 |