ARI — Week 2 vs SEA, who allow the 22nd-most points to RBs — recently Rhamondre Stevenson put up 9.5 on them (W1).
9.0 PPR points against LAC on 17 car, 61 yd · 2/2 rec, 9 yd — right on his 8.5 projection (+0.5). The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Tyler Allgeier projects 6.4 PPR points in week 2 vs SEA — the 22nd-ranked matchup for RBs, averaging 9 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at RB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs SEA: 109 rushing yards a game allowed at 3.52 a carry · 0 rushing TDs/gm — all of it adding up to the 22nd-most fantasy points allowed to RBs. Receipts and the full profile: how SEA defends RBs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 59% offensive snaps · 11 carries/game (43.1% of team carries) · 47.3% of the backfield's touches · 2 targets/game, 6.5% target share · 35.5 rushing and 9 receiving yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (17 games): 30.2% offensive snaps, 8.4 carries/game (30% of team carries), 28.5% of the backfield's touches, 0.9 targets/game, 3.2% target share, 30.2 rushing and 5.6 receiving yards/game, 8 TD. (2025) TD luck: 8 scored vs 6.8 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 1.3 · median 4.8 · ceiling 11.2 — 14% chance of 10+, 5% of 15+, 2% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Tyler Allgeier in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | vs SEA | Sun, Sep 20 | 5.1 | 5.7 | 6.4 | 22nd |
| W3 | @ SF | Sun, Sep 27 | 6.9 | 7.6 | 8.2 | 13th |
| W4 | @ NYG | Sun, Oct 4 | 7.8 | 8.4 | 9.1 | 14th |
| W5 | vs DET | Sun, Oct 11 | 6.0 | 6.5 | 7.0 | 17th |
| W6 | @ LAR | Sun, Oct 18 | 4.8 | 5.4 | 5.9 | 19th |
| W7 | vs DEN | Sun, Oct 25 | 4.6 | 5.1 | 5.5 | 2nd · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | LAC | 17 car, 61 yd · 2/2 rec, 9 yd | 7.0 | 8.0 | 9.0 |