DEN — Week 1 at KC, who allow the 26th-most points to RBs — recently RJ Harvey put up 13.6 on them (W17), Ashton Jeanty put up 9.4 on them (W18).
Tyler Badie projects 1.0 PPR points in week 1 at KC — the 26th-ranked matchup for RBs, averaging 2.3 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at RB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 1 angle vs KC: 105.4 rushing yards a game allowed at 4.03 a carry · 0.8 rushing TDs/gm — all of it adding up to the 26th-most fantasy points allowed to RBs. Receipts and the full profile: how KC defends RBs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 1): 11% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2025): 17.5% offensive snaps · 0.5 carries/game · 5.3% target share. TD luck: 0 scored vs 1.3 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Tyler Badie in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | @ KC | Mon, Sep 14 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 26th · tough |
| W2 | vs JAX | Sun, Sep 20 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 31st · tough |
| W3 | vs LAR | Sun, Sep 27 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 25th · tough |
| W4 | @ SF | Sun, Oct 4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 15th |
| W5 | @ LAC | Sun, Oct 11 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 27th · tough |
| W6 | vs SEA | Thu, Oct 15 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 32nd · tough |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W18 | LAC | 2 car, -2 yd · 2/2 rec, 28 yd | 2.6 | 3.6 | 4.6 |
| W16 | JAX | 1/3 rec, 2 yd | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.2 |
| W15 | GB | 1/1 rec, 1 yd | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.1 |
| W14 | LV | 4 car, 16 yd · 1/1 rec, 5 yd | 2.1 | 2.6 | 3.1 |
| W13 | WAS | 3/5 rec, 18 yd | 1.8 | 3.3 | 4.8 |
| W9 | HOU | 2/3 rec, 6 yd | 0.6 | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| W8 | DAL | 1 car, 6 yd | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| W7 | NYG | 2/2 rec, 19 yd | 1.9 | 2.9 | 3.9 |
| W5 | PHI | 1/2 rec, 16 yd | 1.6 | 2.1 | 2.6 |
| W4 | CIN | 1/2 rec, 11 yd | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2.1 |
| W2 | IND | 1 car, 3 yd · 2/2 rec, 19 yd | 2.2 | 3.2 | 4.2 |
| W1 | TEN | 2/6 rec, 16 yd | 1.6 | 2.6 | 3.6 |