DET — Week 2 at BUF, who allow the 31st-most points to TEs — recently Dallas Goedert put up 6.8 on them (W17), Jelani Woods put up 2 on them (W18).
Tyler Conklin projects 0.3 PPR points in week 2 at BUF — the 31st-ranked matchup for TEs, averaging 2.9 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at TE — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 1 angle vs BUF: 170.2 passing yards a game allowed (6.25/attempt) · 1.1 TDs/gm through the air · 0.8 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 31st-most fantasy points allowed to TEs. Receipts and the full profile: how BUF defends TEs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 1): 9% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2025): 19.2% offensive snaps · 4.7% target share · 3.5% air-yard share (aDOT 4.5). TD luck: 0 scored vs 0.1 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Tyler Conklin in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | @ BUF | Thu, Sep 17 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 31st · tough |
| W3 | vs NYJ | Sun, Sep 27 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 5th · soft |
| W4 | @ CAR | Sun, Oct 4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 14th |
| W5 | @ ARI | Sun, Oct 11 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 3rd · soft |
| W7 | vs GB | Sun, Oct 25 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 24th |
| W8 | vs MIN | Sun, Nov 1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 22nd |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W18 | DEN | 1/1 rec, 6 yd | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| W10 | PIT | 1/1 rec, 12 yd | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2.2 |
| W5 | WAS | 2/3 rec, 30 yd | 3.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 |
| W4 | NYG | 1/1 rec, 3 yd | 0.3 | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| W1 | KC | 1 car, 2 yd · 2/2 rec, 50 yd | 5.2 | 6.2 | 7.2 |