DAL — Week 8 vs ARI, who allow the 9th-most points to RBs — recently Blake Corum put up 12 on them (W6), RJ Harvey put up 12 on them (W7).
3.8 PPR points against PHI on 10 car, 38 yd — right on his 3.5 projection (+0.3). The week 8 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Tyler Goodson projects 5.0 PPR points in week 8 vs ARI — the 9th-ranked matchup for RBs, averaging 2.3 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at RB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 8 angle vs ARI: 126.3 rushing yards a game allowed at 4.68 a carry · 1.1 rushing TDs/gm — all of it adding up to the 9th-most fantasy points allowed to RBs. Receipts and the full profile: how ARI defends RBs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 8): 23 rushing yards · 0.5 receiving yards · 20% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 4 games): 15.2% offensive snaps · 5.3 carries/game (19.4% of team carries) · 22.6% of the backfield's touches · 1.3 targets/game, 2.6% target share · 18 rushing and 1 receiving yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (10 games): 5% offensive snaps, 0.9 carries/game (3.6% of team carries), 4.7% of the backfield's touches, 0.3 targets/game, 0.7% target share, 2.4 rushing and 0.8 receiving yards/game, 0 TD. (2026) TD luck: 0 scored vs 0.7 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 8 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 0.7 · median 3.1 · ceiling 10.8 — 13% chance of 10+, 4% of 15+, 1% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Tyler Goodson in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | vs ARI | Sun, Nov 1 | 4.2 | 4.6 | 5.0 | 9th |
| W9 | @ IND | Sun, Nov 8 | 3.0 | 3.4 | 3.8 | 11th |
| W10 | vs SF | Sun, Nov 15 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 3.3 | 19th |
| W11 | vs TEN | Sun, Nov 22 | 2.9 | 3.3 | 3.7 | 12th |
| W12 | vs PHI | Thu, Nov 26 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 3.3 | 15th |
| W13 | @ SEA | Mon, Dec 7 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 3.2 | 23rd |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W7 | PHI | 10 car, 38 yd | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.8 |
| W6 | GB | 2 car, 0 yd · 1/3 rec, 9 yd | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.9 |
| W4 | HOU | 3 car, 12 yd · 0/1 rec, 0 yd | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| W3 | BAL | 6 car, 22 yd · 1/1 rec, -5 yd | 1.7 | 2.2 | 2.7 |