LAR — Week 1 vs SF, who allow the 9th-most points to TEs — recently Colston Loveland put up 15.4 on them (W17), AJ Barner put up 1.4 on them (W18).
Tyler Higbee projects 2.1 PPR points in week 1 vs SF — the 9th-ranked matchup for TEs, averaging 9.9 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at TE — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 1 angle vs SF: 241.8 passing yards a game allowed (7.06/attempt) · 1.7 TDs/gm through the air · 0.4 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 9th-most fantasy points allowed to TEs. Receipts and the full profile: how SF defends TEs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 1): 12.5 receiving yards · 14% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2025): 55.5% offensive snaps · 11% target share · 6.6% air-yard share (aDOT 6.1). TD luck: 3 scored vs 2.8 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Tyler Higbee in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | vs SF | Thu, Sep 10 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 9th |
| W2 | vs NYG | Mon, Sep 21 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 25th · tough |
| W3 | @ DEN | Sun, Sep 27 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 17th |
| W4 | @ PHI | Sun, Oct 4 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 32nd · tough |
| W5 | vs BUF | Mon, Oct 12 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 31st · tough |
| W6 | vs ARI | Sun, Oct 18 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 3rd · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W18 | ARI | 5/6 rec, 91 yd, 1 TD | 15.1 | 17.6 | 20.1 |
| W11 | SEA | 1/2 rec, 23 yd | 2.3 | 2.8 | 3.3 |
| W10 | SF | 3/3 rec, 33 yd | 3.3 | 4.8 | 6.3 |
| W9 | NO | 3/4 rec, 13 yd, 1 TD | 7.3 | 8.8 | 10.3 |
| W7 | JAX | 3/6 rec, 19 yd | 1.9 | 3.4 | 4.9 |
| W6 | BAL | 4/4 rec, 40 yd, 1 TD | 10.0 | 12.0 | 14.0 |
| W4 | IND | 2/5 rec, 25 yd | 2.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
| W2 | TEN | 4/4 rec, 37 yd | 3.7 | 5.7 | 7.7 |