KC — Week 2 vs IND, who allow the 7th-most points to WRs — recently Zay Flowers put up 21 on them (W1).
Tyquan Thornton projects 6.5 PPR points in week 2 vs IND — the 7th-ranked matchup for WRs. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs IND: 324 passing yards a game allowed (12.96/attempt) · 1 TDs/gm through the air · 0 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 7th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how IND defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 68% offensive snaps · 2.5 targets/game, 6.7% target share · 29.8% air-yard share (aDOT 24.2) · 2 catches for 43 yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (12 games): 39% offensive snaps, 3.1 targets/game, 9% target share, 27.5% air-yard share (aDOT 26.9), 1.6 catches for 36.5 yards/game, 3 TD. (2025) TD luck: 3 scored vs 4.1 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 1.9 · median 4.6 · ceiling 10.3 — 11% chance of 10+, 2% of 15+, 1% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Tyquan Thornton in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | vs IND | Sun, Sep 20 | 4.6 | 5.5 | 6.5 | 7th · soft |
| W3 | @ MIA | Sun, Sep 27 | 5.4 | 6.5 | 7.6 | 22nd |
| W4 | @ LV | Sun, Oct 4 | 4.8 | 5.9 | 7.0 | 20th |
| W6 | vs LAC | Sun, Oct 18 | 4.6 | 5.5 | 6.5 | 19th |
| W7 | @ SEA | Sun, Oct 25 | 4.4 | 5.4 | 6.3 | 30th · tough |
| W8 | @ DEN | Sun, Nov 1 | 4.2 | 5.1 | 6.0 | 29th · tough |