DEN — Week 2 vs JAX, who allow the 28th-most points to Ks — recently Andre Szmyt put up 4 on them (W1).
4.0 PPR points against KC on 1/1 FG — right on his 6.1 projection (-2.1). The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Wil Lutz projects 6.4 PPR points in week 2 vs JAX — the 28th-ranked matchup for Ks, averaging 4 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at K — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 0% offensive snaps · 0 catches for 0 yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (17 games): 0% offensive snaps, 0 catches for 0 yards/game, 0 TD. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 2.1 · median 5.9 · ceiling 11.3 — 13% chance of 10+, 2% of 15+, 0% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Wil Lutz in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | vs JAX | Sun, Sep 20 | 6.4 | 6.4 | 6.4 | 28th · tough |
| W3 | vs LAR | Sun, Sep 27 | 6.2 | 6.2 | 6.2 | 11th |
| W4 | @ SF | Sun, Oct 4 | 6.4 | 6.4 | 6.4 | 32nd · tough |
| W5 | @ LAC | Sun, Oct 11 | 6.4 | 6.4 | 6.4 | 2nd · soft |
| W6 | vs SEA | Thu, Oct 15 | 6.4 | 6.4 | 6.4 | 23rd |
| W7 | @ ARI | Sun, Oct 25 | 6.4 | 6.4 | 6.4 | 30th · tough |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | KC | 1/1 FG | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 |