DEN — Week 9 at CAR, who allow the 18th-most points to Ks — recently Chase McLaughlin put up 12 on them (W7), Trey Smack put up 2 on them (W8).
9.0 PPR points against KC on 2/2 FG — right on his 7.4 projection (+1.6). The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Wil Lutz projects 7.4 PPR points in week 9 at CAR — the 18th-ranked matchup for Ks, averaging 10 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at K — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 8 games): 0% offensive snaps · 0 catches for 0 yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (17 games): 0% offensive snaps, 0 catches for 0 yards/game, 0 TD. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 3 · median 7 · ceiling 12.6 — 21% chance of 10+, 3% of 15+, 0% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Wil Lutz in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | @ CAR | Sun, Nov 8 | 7.4 | 7.4 | 7.4 | 18th |
| W11 | vs LV | Sun, Nov 22 | 7.4 | 7.4 | 7.4 | 22nd |
| W12 | @ PIT | Fri, Nov 27 | 7.4 | 7.4 | 7.4 | 2nd · soft |
| W13 | vs MIA | Sun, Dec 6 | 7.4 | 7.4 | 7.4 | 21st |
| W14 | @ NYJ | Sun, Dec 13 | 7.4 | 7.4 | 7.4 | 24th |
| W15 | @ LV | Sun, Dec 20 | 7.4 | 7.4 | 7.4 | 22nd |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | KC | 2/2 FG | 9.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 |
| W7 | ARI | 3/3 FG | 14.0 | 14.0 | 14.0 |
| W6 | SEA | 1/1 FG | 7.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 |
| W5 | LAC | 3/4 FG | 10.0 | 10.0 | 10.0 |
| W4 | SF | 2/3 FG | 8.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 |
| W3 | LAR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | |
| W2 | JAX | 2/2 FG | 9.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 |
| W1 | KC | 1/1 FG | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 |