PHI — Week 1 vs WAS, who allow the 4th-most points to RBs — recently Javonte Williams put up 11.4 on them (W17), Tank Bigsby put up 16.6 on them (W18).
Will Shipley projects 1.2 PPR points in week 1 vs WAS — the 4th-ranked matchup for RBs, averaging 0.9 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at RB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 1 angle vs WAS: 139.6 rushing yards a game allowed at 4.78 a carry · 1.1 rushing TDs/gm — all of it adding up to the 4th-most fantasy points allowed to RBs. Receipts and the full profile: how WAS defends RBs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 1): 9% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2025): 12.5% offensive snaps · 1 carries/game · 2.9% target share. TD luck: 0 scored vs 0.3 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Will Shipley in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | vs WAS | Sun, Sep 13 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 4th · soft |
| W2 | @ TEN | Sun, Sep 20 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 12th |
| W3 | @ CHI | Mon, Sep 28 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 19th |
| W4 | vs LAR | Sun, Oct 4 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 25th · tough |
| W5 | @ JAX | Sun, Oct 11 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 31st · tough |
| W6 | vs CAR | Sun, Oct 18 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 9th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W18 | WAS | 1 car, 2 yd · 2/3 rec, 11 yd | 1.3 | 2.3 | 3.3 |
| W17 | BUF | 2 car, 2 yd | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| W16 | WAS | 1/1 rec, 3 yd · 1 fum | -1.7 | -1.2 | -0.7 |
| W14 | LAC | 1/1 rec, 3 yd | 0.3 | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| W13 | CHI | 1/1 rec, 11 yd | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2.1 |
| W10 | GB | 4 car, 17 yd · 2/2 rec, 17 yd | 3.4 | 4.4 | 5.4 |
| W8 | NYG | 3 car, 2 yd | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| W7 | MIN | 1/1 rec, 7 yd | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| W5 | DEN | 1 car, 0 yd · 1/2 rec, 4 yd | 0.4 | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| W1 | DAL | 3 car, 26 yd | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.6 |