KC — Week 9 vs NYJ, who allow the 21st-most points to WRs — recently Caleb Douglas put up 19 on them (W7), Jalen Nailor put up 9.8 on them (W8).
4.3 PPR points against DEN on 3/6 rec, 13 yd — missed his 9.5 projection by 5.2. The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Xavier Worthy projects 10.3 PPR points in week 9 vs NYJ — the 21st-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 7.6 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs NYJ: 208.4 passing yards a game allowed (6.97/attempt) · 1.8 TDs/gm through the air · 0.1 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 21st-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how NYJ defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 39.5 receiving yards · 28% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 7 games): 83.7% offensive snaps · 5.9 targets/game, 19.1% target share · 26.2% air-yard share (aDOT 8.6) · 3.9 catches for 32.9 yards/game, 1 TD. 2025 baseline (14 games): 70.6% offensive snaps, 5.2 targets/game, 16.1% target share, 26.8% air-yard share (aDOT 12.9), 3 catches for 38 yards/game, 1 TD. (2026) TD luck: 1 scored vs 2.2 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 3.5 · median 7.4 · ceiling 14.9 — 33% chance of 10+, 10% of 15+, 3% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Xavier Worthy in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | vs NYJ | Sun, Nov 8 | 6.8 | 8.5 | 10.3 | 21st |
| W10 | @ ATL | Sun, Nov 15 | 6.4 | 8.3 | 10.2 | 16th |
| W11 | vs ARI | Sun, Nov 22 | 7.8 | 9.7 | 11.6 | 6th · soft |
| W12 | @ BUF | Thu, Nov 26 | 6.6 | 8.4 | 10.2 | 3rd · soft |
| W13 | @ LAR | Thu, Dec 3 | 6.2 | 8.0 | 9.7 | 24th |
| W14 | @ CIN | Sun, Dec 13 | 7.3 | 9.2 | 11.2 | 12th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | DEN | 3/6 rec, 13 yd | 1.3 | 2.8 | 4.3 |
| W7 | SEA | 3/6 rec, 11 yd | 1.1 | 2.6 | 4.1 |
| W6 | LAC | 7/7 rec, 73 yd | 7.3 | 10.8 | 14.3 |
| W4 | LV | 4/7 rec, 70 yd | 7.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 |
| W3 | MIA | 2/2 rec, 20 yd | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 |
| W2 | IND | 5/7 rec, 25 yd, 1 TD | 8.5 | 11.0 | 13.5 |
| W1 | DEN | 3/6 rec, 18 yd | 1.8 | 3.3 | 4.8 |