KC — Week 2 vs IND, who allow the 7th-most points to WRs — recently Zay Flowers put up 21 on them (W1).
4.8 PPR points against DEN on 3/6 rec, 18 yd — missed his 9.8 projection by 5. The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Xavier Worthy projects 9.9 PPR points in week 2 vs IND — the 7th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 4.8 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs IND: 324 passing yards a game allowed (12.96/attempt) · 1 TDs/gm through the air · 0 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 7th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how IND defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 77% offensive snaps · 6.5 targets/game, 20.1% target share · 23.4% air-yard share (aDOT 6.3) · 4 catches for 21.5 yards/game, 1 TD. 2025 baseline (14 games): 70.6% offensive snaps, 5.2 targets/game, 16.1% target share, 26.8% air-yard share (aDOT 12.9), 3 catches for 38 yards/game, 1 TD. (2025) TD luck: 1 scored vs 3.3 expected — under expectation, positive regression due. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 3.5 · median 7.4 · ceiling 14.3 — 32% chance of 10+, 8% of 15+, 2% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Xavier Worthy in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | vs IND | Sun, Sep 20 | 6.7 | 8.3 | 9.9 | 7th · soft |
| W3 | @ MIA | Sun, Sep 27 | 7.9 | 9.7 | 11.5 | 22nd |
| W4 | @ LV | Sun, Oct 4 | 6.8 | 8.6 | 10.4 | 20th |
| W6 | vs LAC | Sun, Oct 18 | 6.4 | 8.0 | 9.6 | 19th |
| W7 | @ SEA | Sun, Oct 25 | 6.0 | 7.6 | 9.2 | 30th · tough |
| W8 | @ DEN | Sun, Nov 1 | 5.7 | 7.3 | 8.8 | 29th · tough |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | DEN | 3/6 rec, 18 yd | 1.8 | 3.3 | 4.8 |