Wondering who you should start this week — Brian Robinson Jr. or Emmett Johnson? The start/sit call and the numbers behind it are below, plus who wins a straight-up trade. Rebuilt nightly.
Start Brian Robinson Jr. — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 0.1 points. The matchup leans Brian Robinson Jr. (TB allow the 31st-most RB points), but you can defend either call.
Player
Wk 8
Proj (PPR)
Matchup
Form L3
Trade value
Status
Brian Robinson Jr.START
@ TB
4.3
31st · tough
10.1
98
Questionable
Emmett Johnson
@ DEN
4.2
13th
3.4
123
healthy
RBs vs TB recently: Javonte Williams 12.2 pts (W5) · Jaylen Warren 7.8 pts (W6) · Anthony Tyus III 8.3 pts (W7).
RBs vs DEN recently: Kimani Vidal 11.6 pts (W5) · George Holani 8 pts (W6) · Zonovan Knight 6.3 pts (W7).
🎓 The coach's read
Projections are 0.1 apart — too close to call on projection alone.
Emmett Johnson has the higher floor (1.1) — the safer start if you are favoured.
Brian Robinson Jr. has the higher ceiling (10.7) — the play if you need points.
Brian Robinson Jr. is boom-or-bust — about 11% more volatile week to week than a typical RB projected here — wider range in both directions.
Emmett Johnson is steady — about 12% less volatile week to week than a typical RB projected here — higher floor, lower ceiling.
Brian Robinson Jr. faces TB, 31st most generous to RBs.
Who wins a straight-up trade?
Emmett Johnson carries the higher trade value — 123 against 98 (a 20% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving Emmett Johnson gets the most.
Momentum: Brian Robinson Jr. -53 and Emmett Johnson -164 over the last 30 days.