Carson Wentz · Geno Smith · 2026 week 9

Carson Wentz or Geno Smith?

Wondering who you should start this week — Carson Wentz or Geno Smith? The start/sit call and the numbers behind it are below, plus who wins a straight-up trade. Rebuilt nightly.

Start Carson Wentz — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 0.1 points. The matchup leans Carson Wentz (BUF allow the 11th-most QB points), but you can defend either call.

Player	Wk 9	Proj (PPR)	Matchup	Form L3	Trade value	Status
Carson Wentz START	vs BUF	14.7	11th	12.8	55	healthy
Geno Smith	@ KC	14.6	28th · tough	18.8	138	healthy

QBs vs BUF recently: Matthew Stafford 27.3 pts (W5) · Kirk Cousins 19.5 pts (W6) · Joe Fagnano 0.9 pts (W8).

QBs vs KC recently: Justin Herbert 9.8 pts (W6) · Sam Darnold 15 pts (W7) · Bo Nix 19.3 pts (W8).

🎓 The coach's read

Projections are 0.1 apart — too close to call on projection alone.
Carson Wentz has the higher floor (6.4) — the safer start if you are favoured.
Geno Smith has the higher ceiling (23.3) — the play if you need points.
Carson Wentz faces BUF, 11th most generous to QBs.
Geno Smith faces KC, 28th most generous to QBs.

Who wins a straight-up trade?

Geno Smith carries the higher trade value — 138 against 55 (a 60% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving Geno Smith gets the most. Momentum: Carson Wentz +50 and Geno Smith +101 over the last 30 days.

Open in Start/Sit (any scoring) Open in the Trade Analyzer

More QB decisions

Carson Wentz or Cam Ward?Carson Wentz or Deshaun Watson?Carson Wentz or Daniel Jones?Geno Smith or Malik Willis?Geno Smith or Sam Darnold?Geno Smith or J.J. McCarthy?

All numbers are the 2026 season, refreshed nightly.