Fernando Mendoza · Matthew Stafford · 2026 week 3

Fernando Mendoza or Matthew Stafford?

Wondering who you should start this week — Fernando Mendoza or Matthew Stafford? The start/sit call and the numbers behind it are below, plus who wins a straight-up trade. Rebuilt nightly.

Start Matthew Stafford — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 1.1 points. The matchup leans Matthew Stafford (DEN allow the 22nd-most QB points), but you can defend either call.
PlayerWk 3Proj (PPR)MatchupForm L3Trade valueStatus
Fernando Mendoza vs BUF 14.9 6th · soft 37 healthy
Matthew Stafford START @ DEN 16.0 22nd 16.6 592 healthy

QBs vs BUF recently: C.J. Stroud 16.5 pts (W1) · Jared Goff 29.8 pts (W2).

QBs vs DEN recently: Patrick Mahomes 22.7 pts (W1) · Trevor Lawrence 7.2 pts (W2).

Who wins a straight-up trade?

Matthew Stafford carries the higher trade value — 592 against 37 (a 94% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving Matthew Stafford gets the most. Momentum: Fernando Mendoza -19 and Matthew Stafford -644 over the last 30 days.

Open in Start/Sit (any scoring) Open in the Trade Analyzer

More QB decisions

All numbers are the 2026 season, refreshed nightly.