Wondering who you should start this week — Jacory Croskey-Merritt or Keaton Mitchell? The start/sit call and the numbers behind it are below, plus who wins a straight-up trade. Rebuilt nightly.
Start Keaton Mitchell — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 0.3 points. The matchup leans Keaton Mitchell (DEN allow the 7th-most RB points), but you can defend either call.
Player
Wk 5
Proj (PPR)
Matchup
Form L3
Trade value
Status
Jacory Croskey-Merritt
vs NYG
9.1
16th
6
528
healthy
Keaton MitchellSTART
vs DEN
9.4
7th · soft
10
495
healthy
RBs vs NYG recently: Kyren Williams 13.7 pts (W2) · Tony Pollard 9.6 pts (W3) · Tyler Allgeier 10.9 pts (W4).
RBs vs DEN recently: Bhayshul Tuten 12.2 pts (W2) · Kyren Williams 15.8 pts (W3) · Christian McCaffrey 13 pts (W4).
🎓 The coach's read
Projections are 0.3 apart — too close to call on projection alone.
Keaton Mitchell has the higher floor (3.3) — the safer start if you are favoured.
Jacory Croskey-Merritt has the higher ceiling (19.3) — the play if you need points.
Jacory Croskey-Merritt is boom-or-bust — about 16% more volatile week to week than a typical RB projected here — wider range in both directions.
Keaton Mitchell is steady — about 11% less volatile week to week than a typical RB projected here — higher floor, lower ceiling.
Jacory Croskey-Merritt faces NYG, 16th most generous to RBs.
Who wins a straight-up trade?
Jacory Croskey-Merritt carries the higher trade value — 528 against 495 (a 6% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving Jacory Croskey-Merritt gets the most.
Momentum: Jacory Croskey-Merritt -434 and Keaton Mitchell +383 over the last 30 days.