Jake Elliott · Wil Lutz · 2026 week 5
Jake Elliott or Wil Lutz?
Wondering who you should start this week — Jake Elliott or Wil Lutz? The start/sit call and the numbers behind it are below, plus who wins a straight-up trade. Rebuilt nightly.
Start Jake Elliott — barely This one is a coin flip — the projections are within 0 points. The matchup leans Jake Elliott (JAX allow the 26th-most K points), but you can defend either call.
Player Wk 5 Proj (PPR) Matchup Form L3 Trade value Status
Jake Elliott START @ JAX
6.5 26th · tough 6.3
–
healthy Wil Lutz @ LAC
6.5 14th 6
–
healthy
Ks vs JAX recently: Wil Lutz 9 pts (W2) · Andy Borregales 6 pts (W3) · Evan McPherson 5 pts (W4).
Ks vs LAC recently: Matt Gay 8 pts (W2) · Tyler Bass 6 pts (W3) · Jason Myers 5 pts (W4).
🎓 The coach's read
They carry identical projections — projection alone cannot separate them. Wil Lutz has the higher floor (2.4) — the safer start if you are favoured. Jake Elliott has the higher ceiling (11.8) — the play if you need points. Jake Elliott is boom-or-bust — about 11% more volatile week to week than a typical K projected here — wider range in both directions. Jake Elliott faces JAX, 26th most generous to Ks. Wil Lutz faces LAC, 14th most generous to Ks. 🔔 Ping me if Jake Elliott or Wil Lutz is ruled out
Who wins a straight-up trade?
Their trade values are effectively even — a one-for-one is a fair swap on the numbers.
Open in Start/Sit (any scoring)
Open in the Trade Analyzer
More K decisions
All numbers are the 2026 season, refreshed nightly.