Matt Gay · Wil Lutz · 2026 week 9

Matt Gay or Wil Lutz?

Wondering who you should start this week — Matt Gay or Wil Lutz? The start/sit call and the numbers behind it are below, plus who wins a straight-up trade. Rebuilt nightly.

Start Matt Gay — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 0.9 points. The matchup leans Matt Gay (SF allow the 6th-most K points), but you can defend either call.

Player	Wk 9	Proj (PPR)	Matchup	Form L3	Trade value	Status
Matt Gay START	@ SF	8.3	6th · soft	10	–	healthy
Wil Lutz	@ CAR	7.4	18th	10	–	healthy

Ks vs SF recently: Jason Myers 23 pts (W5) · Drew Stevens 7 pts (W6) · Nick Folk 10 pts (W7).

Ks vs CAR recently: Jake Elliott 2 pts (W6) · Chase McLaughlin 12 pts (W7) · Trey Smack 2 pts (W8).

🎓 The coach's read

Projections are 0.9 apart — too close to call on projection alone.
Matt Gay has the higher ceiling (14.1) — the play if you need points.
Matt Gay faces SF, 6th most generous to Ks.
Wil Lutz faces CAR, 18th most generous to Ks.

Who wins a straight-up trade?

Their trade values are effectively even — a one-for-one is a fair swap on the numbers.

Open in Start/Sit (any scoring) Open in the Trade Analyzer

More K decisions

Matt Gay or Ryan Fitzgerald?Matt Gay or Jason Myers?Matt Gay or Cameron Dicker?Wil Lutz or Brandon McManus?Wil Lutz or Chad Ryland?Wil Lutz or Joey Slye?

All numbers are the 2026 season, refreshed nightly.