Wondering who you should start this week — Riley Patterson or Wil Lutz? The start/sit call and the numbers behind it are below, plus who wins a straight-up trade. Rebuilt nightly.
Start Riley Patterson — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 0.6 points. The matchup leans Riley Patterson (CIN allow the 5th-most K points), but you can defend either call.
Player
Wk 5
Proj (PPR)
Matchup
Form L3
Trade value
Status
Riley PattersonSTART
vs CIN
7.2
5th · soft
4.7
–
healthy
Wil Lutz
@ LAC
6.6
14th
6
–
healthy
Ks vs CIN recently: Ka'imi Fairbairn 6 pts (W2) · Chris Boswell 13 pts (W3) · Cam Little 14 pts (W4).
Ks vs LAC recently: Matt Gay 8 pts (W2) · Tyler Bass 6 pts (W3) · Jason Myers 5 pts (W4).
🎓 The coach's read
Projections are 0.6 apart — too close to call on projection alone.
Riley Patterson has the higher floor (3.3) — the safer start if you are favoured.
Riley Patterson has the higher ceiling (11.8) — the play if you need points.
Riley Patterson is steady — about 13% less volatile week to week than a typical K projected here — higher floor, lower ceiling.
Riley Patterson faces CIN, 5th most generous to Ks.
Wil Lutz faces LAC, 14th most generous to Ks.
Who wins a straight-up trade?
Their trade values are effectively even — a one-for-one is a fair swap on the numbers.