Trey Smack · Wil Lutz · 2026 week 9

Trey Smack or Wil Lutz?

Wondering who you should start this week — Trey Smack or Wil Lutz? The start/sit call and the numbers behind it are below, plus who wins a straight-up trade. Rebuilt nightly.

Start Trey Smack — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 0.2 points. The matchup leans Trey Smack (NE allow the 20th-most K points), but you can defend either call.

Player	Wk 9	Proj (PPR)	Matchup	Form L3	Trade value	Status
Trey Smack START	@ NE	7.6	20th	6	–	healthy
Wil Lutz	@ CAR	7.4	18th	10	–	healthy

Ks vs NE recently: Jason Sanders 15 pts (W6) · Cairo Santos 14 pts (W7) · Zane Gonzalez 8 pts (W8).

Ks vs CAR recently: Jake Elliott 2 pts (W6) · Chase McLaughlin 12 pts (W7) · Trey Smack 2 pts (W8).

🎓 The coach's read

Projections are 0.2 apart — too close to call on projection alone.
Wil Lutz has the higher floor (3) — the safer start if you are favoured.
Trey Smack has the higher ceiling (14) — the play if you need points.
Trey Smack is boom-or-bust — about 18% more volatile week to week than a typical K projected here — wider range in both directions.
Trey Smack faces NE, 20th most generous to Ks.
Wil Lutz faces CAR, 18th most generous to Ks.

Who wins a straight-up trade?

Their trade values are effectively even — a one-for-one is a fair swap on the numbers.

Open in Start/Sit (any scoring) Open in the Trade Analyzer

More K decisions

Trey Smack or Daniel Carlson?Trey Smack or Chris Boswell?Trey Smack or Chase McLaughlin?Wil Lutz or Brandon McManus?Wil Lutz or Chad Ryland?Wil Lutz or Joey Slye?

All numbers are the 2026 season, refreshed nightly.