DAL — Week 2 vs WAS, who allow the 8th-most points to QBs — recently Jalen Hurts put up 24.7 on them (W1).
15.4 PPR points against NYG on 22/34, 175 pass yd, 2 TD, 1 INT · 2 car, 14 yd — missed his 18.9 projection by 3.5. The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Dak Prescott projects 19.5 PPR points in week 2 vs WAS — the 8th-ranked matchup for QBs, averaging 15.4 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at QB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs WAS: 203 passing yards a game allowed (8.12/attempt) · 3 passing TDs/gm · 3 sacks and 0 INTs/gm · a soft spot for rushing QBs — 46 QB rush yds/gm — all of it adding up to the 8th-most fantasy points allowed to QBs. Receipts and the full profile: how WAS defends QBs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 100% offensive snaps · 32.5 attempts/game, 73.8% completions, 7 yards/attempt, 227 passing yards/game, 6 TD to 1 INT · 3 carries/game. 2025 baseline (17 games): 95.1% offensive snaps, 35.3 attempts/game, 67.3% completions, 7.6 yards/attempt, 267.8 passing yards/game, 30 TD to 10 INT, 3.1 carries/game. (2025) Passing-TD luck: 30 thrown vs 40.7 expected. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 9.2 · median 19.8 · ceiling 29.6 — 88% chance of 10+, 71% of 15+, 48% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Dak Prescott in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | vs WAS | Sun, Sep 20 | 19.5 | 19.5 | 19.5 | 8th · soft |
| W3 | vs BAL | Sun, Sep 27 | 16.8 | 16.8 | 16.8 | 28th · tough |
| W4 | @ HOU | Sun, Oct 4 | 17.3 | 17.3 | 17.3 | 2nd · soft |
| W5 | vs TB | Thu, Oct 8 | 19.5 | 19.5 | 19.5 | 20th |
| W6 | @ GB | Sun, Oct 18 | 19.0 | 19.0 | 19.0 | 12th |
| W7 | @ PHI | Mon, Oct 26 | 16.3 | 16.3 | 16.3 | 14th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | NYG | 22/34, 175 pass yd, 2 TD, 1 INT · 2 car, 14 yd | 15.4 | 15.4 | 15.4 |