Dak Prescott · Trevor Lawrence · 2026 week 9

Dak Prescott or Trevor Lawrence?

Wondering who you should start this week — Dak Prescott or Trevor Lawrence? The start/sit call and the numbers behind it are below, plus who wins a straight-up trade. Rebuilt nightly.

Start Dak Prescott — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 0.1 points. The matchup leans Dak Prescott (IND allow the 15th-most QB points), but you can defend either call.

Player	Wk 9	Proj (PPR)	Matchup	Form L3	Trade value	Status
Dak Prescott START	@ IND	19.8	15th	18.7	1,555	healthy
Trevor Lawrence	@ BAL	19.7	13th	23.5	2,265	healthy

QBs vs IND recently: Cam Ward 7.8 pts (W6) · Kyler Murray 13.9 pts (W7) · Trevor Lawrence 19.4 pts (W8).

QBs vs BAL recently: Deshaun Watson 9.5 pts (W6) · Joe Burrow 28.9 pts (W7) · Josh Allen 27.6 pts (W8).

🎓 The coach's read

Projections are 0.1 apart — too close to call on projection alone.
Dak Prescott has the higher floor (9.6) — the safer start if you are favoured.
Trevor Lawrence has the higher ceiling (29.6) — the play if you need points.
Dak Prescott faces IND, 15th most generous to QBs.
Trevor Lawrence faces BAL, 13th most generous to QBs.

Who wins a straight-up trade?

Trevor Lawrence carries the higher trade value — 2,265 against 1,555 (a 31% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving Trevor Lawrence gets the most. Momentum: Dak Prescott -33 and Trevor Lawrence +574 over the last 30 days.

Open in Start/Sit (any scoring) Open in the Trade Analyzer

More QB decisions

Dak Prescott or Brock Purdy?Dak Prescott or Patrick Mahomes?Trevor Lawrence or Joe Burrow?Trevor Lawrence or Drake Maye?Trevor Lawrence or Caleb Williams?

All numbers are the 2026 season, refreshed nightly.