HOU · Out — Groin — Week 10 at CLE, who allow the 16th-most points to RBs — recently Tony Pollard put up 33.5 on them (W7), Jaylen Warren put up 20.3 on them (W8).
David Montgomery projects 10.9 PPR points in week 10 at CLE — the 16th-ranked matchup for RBs, averaging 4.1 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at RB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs CLE: 126.5 rushing yards a game allowed at 4.69 a carry · 0.9 rushing TDs/gm — all of it adding up to the 16th-most fantasy points allowed to RBs. Receipts and the full profile: how CLE defends RBs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 14.5 receiving yards · 53% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 5 games): 46.8% offensive snaps · 10.4 carries/game (44.4% of team carries) · 51.3% of the backfield's touches · 1.4 targets/game, 4% target share · 27.6 rushing and 13.4 receiving yards/game, 3 TD. 2025 baseline (17 games): 37.1% offensive snaps, 9.3 carries/game (35.7% of team carries), 35.3% of the backfield's touches, 1.7 targets/game, 5.4% target share, 42.1 rushing and 11.3 receiving yards/game, 8 TD. (2026) TD luck: 3 scored vs 2.4 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare David Montgomery in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
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| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W10 | @ CLE | Sun, Nov 15 | 8.8 | 9.8 | 10.9 | 16th |
| W11 | vs IND | Thu, Nov 19 | 9.8 | 10.9 | 11.9 | 5th · soft |
| W12 | vs BAL | Sun, Nov 29 | 8.5 | 9.6 | 10.7 | 23rd |
| W13 | @ PIT | Sun, Dec 6 | 8.6 | 9.6 | 10.7 | 27th · tough |
| W14 | @ WAS | Sun, Dec 13 | 9.2 | 10.3 | 11.4 | 26th · tough |
| W15 | vs JAX | Sun, Dec 20 | 8.2 | 9.3 | 10.4 | 32nd · tough |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W5 | TEN | 5 car, 11 yd | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| W4 | DAL | 10 car, 24 yd | 4.3 | 4.3 | 4.3 |
| W3 | IND | 11 car, 33 yd · 2/2 rec, 15 yd | 4.8 | 5.8 | 6.8 |
| W2 | CIN | 6 car, 10 yd · 2/2 rec, 14 yd | 2.4 | 3.4 | 4.4 |
| W1 | BUF | 20 car, 60 yd, 2 TD · 3/3 rec, 19 yd, 1 TD | 25.9 | 27.4 | 28.9 |