Wondering who you should start this week — Aaron Jones or David Montgomery? The start/sit call and the numbers behind it are below, plus who wins a straight-up trade. Rebuilt nightly.
Start David Montgomery — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 0.4 points. The matchup leans David Montgomery (DAL allow the 8th-most RB points), but you can defend either call.
Player
Wk 4
Proj (PPR)
Matchup
Form L3
Trade value
Status
Aaron Jones
vs MIA
14.6
3rd · soft
11.6
1,589
healthy
David MontgomerySTART
vs DAL
15.0
8th · soft
13.4
2,494
healthy
RBs vs MIA recently: Ashton Jeanty 26.7 pts (W1) · Christian McCaffrey 18.6 pts (W2) · Kenneth Walker 19.3 pts (W3).
RBs vs DAL recently: Cam Skattebo 14.1 pts (W1) · Rachaad White 8.3 pts (W2) · Derrick Henry 20.9 pts (W3).
🎓 The coach's read
Projections are 0.4 apart — too close to call on projection alone.
Aaron Jones has the higher floor (7.7) — the safer start if you are favoured.
David Montgomery has the higher ceiling (28.1) — the play if you need points.
Aaron Jones is steady — about 13% less volatile week to week than a typical RB projected here — higher floor, lower ceiling.
David Montgomery is boom-or-bust — about 31% more volatile week to week than a typical RB projected here — wider range in both directions.
Aaron Jones faces MIA, 3rd most generous to RBs.
Who wins a straight-up trade?
David Montgomery carries the higher trade value — 2,494 against 1,589 (a 36% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving David Montgomery gets the most.
Momentum: Aaron Jones +964 and David Montgomery -597 over the last 30 days.