TEN — Week 2 vs PHI, who allow the 27th-most points to TEs — recently Chig Okonkwo put up 1.6 on them (W1).
6.8 PPR points against NYJ on 4/5 rec, 28 yd — right on his 7.2 projection (-0.4). The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Gunnar Helm projects 6.3 PPR points in week 2 vs PHI — the 27th-ranked matchup for TEs, averaging 6.8 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at TE — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs PHI: 164 passing yards a game allowed (4.82/attempt) · 2 TDs/gm through the air · 0 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 27th-most fantasy points allowed to TEs. Receipts and the full profile: how PHI defends TEs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 76% offensive snaps · 3.5 targets/game, 14.8% target share · 4.1% air-yard share (aDOT 2.3) · 3 catches for 20.5 yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (16 games): 52.6% offensive snaps, 3.4 targets/game, 10.7% target share, 8% air-yard share (aDOT 5.5), 2.8 catches for 22.3 yards/game, 2 TD. (2025) TD luck: 2 scored vs 2.4 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 1.3 · median 4.1 · ceiling 10.2 — 11% chance of 10+, 2% of 15+, 0% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Gunnar Helm in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | vs PHI | Sun, Sep 20 | 3.5 | 4.9 | 6.3 | 27th · tough |
| W3 | @ NYG | Sun, Sep 27 | 4.1 | 5.7 | 7.3 | 25th · tough |
| W4 | @ BAL | Sun, Oct 4 | 4.2 | 5.8 | 7.5 | 17th |
| W5 | vs HOU | Sun, Oct 11 | 4.0 | 5.5 | 7.0 | 6th · soft |
| W6 | @ IND | Sun, Oct 18 | 4.4 | 6.0 | 7.6 | 18th |
| W7 | vs CLE | Sun, Oct 25 | 4.4 | 6.0 | 7.5 | 12th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | NYJ | 4/5 rec, 28 yd | 2.8 | 4.8 | 6.8 |