TEN — Week 10 vs JAX, who allow the 23rd-most points to TEs — recently Foster Moreau put up 12.7 on them (W6), Tyler Warren put up 1.8 on them (W8).
14.6 PPR points against CIN on 5/9 rec, 76 yd — beat his 6.5 projection by 8.1. The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Gunnar Helm projects 5.5 PPR points in week 10 vs JAX — the 23rd-ranked matchup for TEs, averaging 7.8 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at TE — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs JAX: 264.3 passing yards a game allowed (7.64/attempt) · 1.1 TDs/gm through the air · 1.3 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 23rd-most fantasy points allowed to TEs. Receipts and the full profile: how JAX defends TEs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 7 games): 76% offensive snaps · 3.7 targets/game, 12% target share · 8.4% air-yard share (aDOT 5.8) · 2.4 catches for 22.9 yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (16 games): 52.6% offensive snaps, 3.4 targets/game, 10.7% target share, 8% air-yard share (aDOT 5.5), 2.8 catches for 22.3 yards/game, 2 TD. (2026) TD luck: 0 scored vs 0.7 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Gunnar Helm in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W10 | vs JAX | Sun, Nov 15 | 2.8 | 4.2 | 5.5 | 23rd |
| W11 | @ DAL | Sun, Nov 22 | 3.3 | 4.7 | 6.1 | 19th |
| W12 | @ JAX | Sun, Nov 29 | 2.8 | 4.2 | 5.5 | 23rd |
| W13 | vs WAS | Sun, Dec 6 | 3.4 | 4.8 | 6.1 | 2nd · soft |
| W14 | @ DET | Sun, Dec 13 | 3.3 | 4.6 | 6.0 | 1st · soft |
| W15 | vs IND | Sun, Dec 20 | 2.9 | 4.2 | 5.5 | 5th · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | CIN | 5/9 rec, 76 yd | 9.6 | 12.1 | 14.6 |
| W7 | CLE | 3/4 rec, 24 yd | 2.4 | 3.9 | 5.4 |
| W4 | BAL | 1/1 rec, 5 yd | 2.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 |
| W3 | NYG | 2/4 rec, 14 yd | 1.4 | 2.4 | 3.4 |
| W2 | PHI | 2/2 rec, 13 yd | 1.3 | 2.3 | 3.3 |
| W1 | NYJ | 4/5 rec, 28 yd | 2.8 | 4.8 | 6.8 |