ATL — Week 2 vs CAR, who allow the 11th-most points to TEs — recently Cole Kmet put up 9.5 on them (W1).
Kyle Pitts projects 8.8 PPR points in week 2 vs CAR — the 11th-ranked matchup for TEs. Start him if that clears your other options at TE — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs CAR: 269 passing yards a game allowed (9.28/attempt) · 2 TDs/gm through the air · 0 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 11th-most fantasy points allowed to TEs. Receipts and the full profile: how CAR defends TEs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 63% offensive snaps · 2 targets/game, 7.5% target share · 25.1% air-yard share (aDOT 13) · 0.5 catches for 7.5 yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (17 games): 88% offensive snaps, 6.9 targets/game, 22.7% target share, 21.6% air-yard share (aDOT 7.4), 5.2 catches for 54.6 yards/game, 5 TD. (2025) TD luck: 5 scored vs 3.5 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 1.2 · median 5.4 · ceiling 14.8 — 25% chance of 10+, 10% of 15+, 4% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Kyle Pitts in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | vs CAR | Sun, Sep 20 | 5.3 | 7.0 | 8.8 | 11th |
| W3 | @ GB | Thu, Sep 24 | 5.9 | 7.8 | 9.8 | 8th · soft |
| W4 | @ NO | Mon, Oct 5 | 6.3 | 8.3 | 10.4 | 21st |
| W5 | vs BAL | Sun, Oct 11 | 5.9 | 8.0 | 10.1 | 17th |
| W6 | vs CHI | Sun, Oct 18 | 6.9 | 9.0 | 11.1 | 20th |
| W7 | vs SF | Sun, Oct 25 | 6.3 | 8.5 | 10.6 | 31st · tough |