Wondering who you should start this week — Kyle Pitts or Mike Gesicki? The start/sit call and the numbers behind it are below, plus who wins a straight-up trade. Rebuilt nightly.
Start Mike Gesicki — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 0.3 points. The matchup leans Mike Gesicki (MIA allow the 8th-most TE points), but you can defend either call.
Player
Wk 5
Proj (PPR)
Matchup
Form L3
Trade value
Status
Kyle Pitts
vs BAL
7.7
19th
3.9
476
healthy
Mike GesickiSTART
@ MIA
8.0
8th · soft
14.8
242
healthy
TEs vs BAL recently: Juwan Johnson 6.6 pts (W2) · Jake Ferguson 6.3 pts (W3) · Gunnar Helm 2.5 pts (W4).
TEs vs MIA recently: George Kittle 14 pts (W2) · Travis Kelce 11.9 pts (W3) · T.J. Hockenson 11.9 pts (W4).
🎓 The coach's read
Projections are 0.3 apart — too close to call on projection alone.
Mike Gesicki has the higher floor (1.7) — the safer start if you are favoured.
Kyle Pitts has the higher ceiling (17.4) — the play if you need points.
Kyle Pitts is boom-or-bust — about 20% more volatile week to week than a typical TE projected here — wider range in both directions.
Mike Gesicki is boom-or-bust — about 11% more volatile week to week than a typical TE projected here — wider range in both directions.
Kyle Pitts faces BAL, 19th most generous to TEs.
Who wins a straight-up trade?
Kyle Pitts carries the higher trade value — 476 against 242 (a 49% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving Kyle Pitts gets the most.
Momentum: Kyle Pitts -1006 and Mike Gesicki +242 over the last 30 days.