LAR — Week 2 vs NYG, who allow the 14th-most points to RBs — recently Javonte Williams put up 19.2 on them (W1).
15.5 PPR points against SF on 11 car, 41 yd, 1 TD · 3/3 rec, 24 yd — right on his 14.4 projection (+1.1). The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Kyren Williams projects 17.0 PPR points in week 2 vs NYG — the 14th-ranked matchup for RBs, averaging 15.5 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at RB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs NYG: 62 rushing yards a game allowed at 3.65 a carry · 1 rushing TDs/gm — all of it adding up to the 14th-most fantasy points allowed to RBs. Receipts and the full profile: how NYG defends RBs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 2): 68.5 rushing yards · 14.5 receiving yards · 60% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 1 game): 64% offensive snaps · 11 carries/game (37.9% of team carries) · 46.7% of the backfield's touches · 3 targets/game, 11.1% target share · 41 rushing and 24 receiving yards/game, 1 TD. 2025 baseline (17 games): 68.3% offensive snaps, 15.2 carries/game (55.7% of team carries), 64.8% of the backfield's touches, 2.9 targets/game, 8.1% target share, 73.6 rushing and 16.5 receiving yards/game, 13 TD. (2025) TD luck: 13 scored vs 14.3 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 9 · median 15.4 · ceiling 25 — 82% chance of 10+, 53% of 15+, 21% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Kyren Williams in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | vs NYG | Mon, Sep 21 | 15.0 | 16.0 | 17.0 | 14th |
| W3 | @ DEN | Sun, Sep 27 | 10.7 | 11.6 | 12.6 | 2nd · soft |
| W4 | @ PHI | Sun, Oct 4 | 11.2 | 12.2 | 13.1 | 18th |
| W5 | vs BUF | Mon, Oct 12 | 14.3 | 15.3 | 16.3 | 6th · soft |
| W6 | vs ARI | Sun, Oct 18 | 13.2 | 14.2 | 15.3 | 25th · tough |
| W7 | @ LV | Sun, Oct 25 | 11.4 | 12.5 | 13.5 | 31st · tough |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | SF | 11 car, 41 yd, 1 TD · 3/3 rec, 24 yd | 12.5 | 14.0 | 15.5 |