LAR — Week 9 at WAS, who allow the 26th-most points to RBs — recently Christian McCaffrey put up 21.7 on them (W6), Saquon Barkley put up 11.4 on them (W8).
12.9 PPR points against LAC on 16 car, 56 yd, 1 TD · 1/1 rec, 3 yd — missed his 20.0 projection by 7.1. The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Kyren Williams projects 18.7 PPR points in week 9 at WAS — the 26th-ranked matchup for RBs, averaging 13.6 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at RB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs WAS: 99 rushing yards a game allowed at 3.87 a carry · 0.9 rushing TDs/gm — all of it adding up to the 26th-most fantasy points allowed to RBs. Receipts and the full profile: how WAS defends RBs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 60.5 rushing yards · 20.5 receiving yards · 55% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 8 games): 67.2% offensive snaps · 14 carries/game (52.6% of team carries) · 61.6% of the backfield's touches · 5.3 targets/game, 12.8% target share · 68.5 rushing and 30.3 receiving yards/game, 7 TD. 2025 baseline (17 games): 68.3% offensive snaps, 15.2 carries/game (55.7% of team carries), 64.8% of the backfield's touches, 2.9 targets/game, 8.1% target share, 73.6 rushing and 16.5 receiving yards/game, 13 TD. (2026) TD luck: 7 scored vs 6 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 8.5 · median 16.7 · ceiling 24.8 — 83% chance of 10+, 59% of 15+, 29% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Kyren Williams in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | @ WAS | Sun, Nov 8 | 15.6 | 17.1 | 18.7 | 26th · tough |
| W10 | @ ARI | Sun, Nov 15 | 16.3 | 17.8 | 19.3 | 15th |
| W12 | vs GB | Wed, Nov 25 | 16.3 | 17.8 | 19.3 | 8th · soft |
| W13 | vs KC | Thu, Dec 3 | 14.9 | 16.4 | 17.9 | 24th |
| W14 | @ SF | Sun, Dec 13 | 14.6 | 16.1 | 17.6 | 20th |
| W15 | vs DAL | Sun, Dec 20 | 17.2 | 18.8 | 20.3 | 3rd · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | LAC | 16 car, 56 yd, 1 TD · 1/1 rec, 3 yd | 11.9 | 12.4 | 12.9 |
| W7 | LV | 16 car, 99 yd, 1 TD · 2/2 rec, 22 yd · 1 fum | 16.1 | 17.1 | 18.1 |
| W6 | ARI | 10 car, 50 yd · 3/6 rec, 17 yd | 6.7 | 8.2 | 9.7 |
| W5 | BUF | 16 car, 49 yd, 1 TD · 6/8 rec, 27 yd | 13.6 | 16.6 | 19.6 |
| W4 | PHI | 16 car, 80 yd, 2 TD · 10/13 rec, 67 yd | 26.7 | 31.7 | 36.7 |
| W3 | DEN | 15 car, 88 yd · 6/7 rec, 70 yd | 15.8 | 18.8 | 21.8 |
| W2 | NYG | 12 car, 85 yd · 2/2 rec, 12 yd, 1 TD · 1 fum | 13.7 | 14.7 | 15.7 |
| W1 | SF | 11 car, 41 yd, 1 TD · 3/3 rec, 24 yd | 12.5 | 14.0 | 15.5 |