SEA · Out — Lower Body — Week 4 vs LAC, who allow the 16th-most points to QBs — recently Jacoby Brissett put up 16.5 on them (W1).
0.5 PPR points against NE on 1/2, 13 pass yd — missed his 17.1 projection by 16.6. The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Sam Darnold projects 15.4 PPR points in week 4 vs LAC — the 16th-ranked matchup for QBs, averaging 0.5 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at QB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs LAC: 277 passing yards a game allowed (7.49/attempt) · 1 passing TDs/gm · 1 sacks and 0 INTs/gm · a soft spot for rushing QBs — 14 QB rush yds/gm — all of it adding up to the 16th-most fantasy points allowed to QBs. Receipts and the full profile: how LAC defends QBs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 1 game): 10% offensive snaps · 2 attempts/game, 50% completions, 6.5 yards/attempt, 13 passing yards/game, 0 TD to 0 INT · 0 carries/game. 2025 baseline (17 games): 96.2% offensive snaps, 28.1 attempts/game, 67.7% completions, 8.5 yards/attempt, 238.1 passing yards/game, 25 TD to 14 INT, 2.1 carries/game. (2025) Passing-TD luck: 25 thrown vs 31.6 expected. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Sam Darnold in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W4 | vs LAC | Sun, Oct 4 | 15.4 | 15.4 | 15.4 | 16th |
| W5 | vs SF | Sun, Oct 11 | 17.9 | 17.9 | 17.9 | 31st · tough |
| W6 | @ DEN | Thu, Oct 15 | 15.3 | 15.3 | 15.3 | 9th |
| W7 | vs KC | Sun, Oct 25 | 16.2 | 16.2 | 16.2 | 32nd · tough |
| W8 | vs CHI | Mon, Nov 2 | 17.9 | 17.9 | 17.9 | 3rd · soft |
| W9 | vs ARI | Sun, Nov 8 | 16.6 | 16.6 | 16.6 | 22nd |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | NE | 1/2, 13 pass yd | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 |