Baker Mayfield · Sam Darnold · 2026 week 1

Baker Mayfield or Sam Darnold?

Wondering who you should start this week — Baker Mayfield or Sam Darnold? The start/sit call and the numbers behind it are below, plus who wins a straight-up trade. Rebuilt nightly.

Start Baker Mayfield — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 0 points. The matchup leans Baker Mayfield (CIN allow the 8th-most QB points), but you can defend either call.
PlayerWk 1Proj (PPR)MatchupForm L3Trade valueStatus
Baker Mayfield START @ CIN 19.8 8th · soft 15.8 1,033 healthy
Sam Darnold vs NE 19.8 22nd 12.5 379 healthy

QBs vs CIN recently: Quinn Ewers 8.9 pts (W16) · Jacoby Brissett 16.5 pts (W17) · Shedeur Sanders 5 pts (W18).

QBs vs NE recently: Lamar Jackson 4.7 pts (W16) · Brady Cook 5.2 pts (W17) · Quinn Ewers 9.4 pts (W18).

Who wins a straight-up trade?

Baker Mayfield carries the higher trade value — 1,033 against 379 (a 63% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving Baker Mayfield gets the most. Momentum: Baker Mayfield +162 and Sam Darnold +54 over the last 30 days.

Open in Start/Sit (any scoring) Open in the Trade Analyzer

More QB decisions

Game logs, matchup ranks and form are the 2025 season — 2026 hasn’t kicked off. Projections, schedule and trade values are current 2026 numbers, refreshed nightly.