NE — Week 2 vs PIT, who allow the 8th-most points to RBs — recently Bijan Robinson put up 23.3 on them (W1).
TreVeyon Henderson projects 9.5 PPR points in week 2 vs PIT — the 8th-ranked matchup for RBs. Start him if that clears your other options at RB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs PIT: 120 rushing yards a game allowed at 3.87 a carry · 0 rushing TDs/gm — all of it adding up to the 8th-most fantasy points allowed to RBs. Receipts and the full profile: how PIT defends RBs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 1 game): 16 carries/game (57.1% of team carries) · 57.1% of the backfield's touches · 76 rushing and 0 receiving yards/game, 1 TD. 2025 baseline (17 games): 45.9% offensive snaps, 10.6 carries/game (36.4% of team carries), 48.9% of the backfield's touches, 2.5 targets/game, 8.4% target share, 53.6 rushing and 13 receiving yards/game, 10 TD. (2025) TD luck: 10 scored vs 8.3 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 2.4 · median 7 · ceiling 16.6 — 34% chance of 10+, 16% of 15+, 7% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare TreVeyon Henderson in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | vs PIT | Sun, Sep 20 | 7.4 | 8.5 | 9.5 | 8th · soft |
| W3 | @ JAX | Sun, Sep 27 | 7.4 | 8.5 | 9.5 | 27th · tough |
| W4 | @ BUF | Sun, Oct 4 | 9.1 | 10.2 | 11.2 | 6th · soft |
| W5 | vs LV | Sun, Oct 11 | 7.5 | 8.6 | 9.8 | 31st · tough |
| W6 | vs NYJ | Sun, Oct 18 | 8.9 | 10.0 | 11.1 | 32nd · tough |
| W7 | @ CHI | Thu, Oct 22 | 9.2 | 10.4 | 11.7 | 7th · soft |