NE · Questionable — Illness — Week 9 vs GB, who allow the 8th-most points to RBs — recently Jahmyr Gibbs put up 12.3 on them (W7), Chuba Hubbard put up 17.9 on them (W8).
TreVeyon Henderson projects 5.9 PPR points in week 9 vs GB — the 8th-ranked matchup for RBs, averaging 4 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at RB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs GB: 110.9 rushing yards a game allowed at 3.89 a carry · 1.3 rushing TDs/gm — all of it adding up to the 8th-most fantasy points allowed to RBs. Receipts and the full profile: how GB defends RBs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 27% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 6 games): 33% offensive snaps · 8.7 carries/game (30.1% of team carries) · 34.9% of the backfield's touches · 1.2 targets/game, 3.7% target share · 33.8 rushing and 7.5 receiving yards/game, 1 TD. 2025 baseline (17 games): 45.9% offensive snaps, 10.6 carries/game (36.4% of team carries), 48.9% of the backfield's touches, 2.5 targets/game, 8.4% target share, 53.6 rushing and 13 receiving yards/game, 10 TD. (2026) TD luck: 1 scored vs 0.4 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 0.8 · median 4.1 · ceiling 10.8 — 11% chance of 10+, 4% of 15+, 1% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare TreVeyon Henderson in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | vs GB | Sun, Nov 8 | 4.6 | 5.2 | 5.9 | 8th · soft |
| W10 | @ DET | Sun, Nov 15 | 5.3 | 5.9 | 6.6 | 29th · tough |
| W12 | @ LAC | Sun, Nov 29 | 4.8 | 5.4 | 6.0 | 9th |
| W13 | vs BUF | Sun, Dec 6 | 4.7 | 5.3 | 5.9 | 6th · soft |
| W14 | vs MIN | Thu, Dec 10 | 4.1 | 4.7 | 5.3 | 22nd |
| W15 | @ KC | Mon, Dec 21 | 4.3 | 4.9 | 5.5 | 24th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W7 | CHI | 3 car, 9 yd · 2/2 rec, 14 yd | 2.3 | 3.3 | 4.3 |
| W6 | NYJ | 7 car, 31 yd · 1/1 rec, 9 yd · 1 fum | 2.0 | 2.5 | 3.0 |
| W5 | LV | 4 car, 22 yd · 1/1 rec, 16 yd | 3.8 | 4.3 | 4.8 |
| W4 | BUF | 14 car, 42 yd · 0/2 rec, 0 yd | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.2 |
| W3 | JAX | 8 car, 23 yd · 1/1 rec, 6 yd | 2.9 | 3.4 | 3.9 |
| W2 | PIT | 16 car, 76 yd, 1 TD | 13.6 | 13.6 | 13.6 |