Aaron Rodgers · Geno Smith · 2026 week 1

Aaron Rodgers or Geno Smith?

Wondering who you should start this week — Aaron Rodgers or Geno Smith? The start/sit call and the numbers behind it are below, plus who wins a straight-up trade. Rebuilt nightly.

Start Aaron Rodgers — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 1.1 points. The matchup leans Aaron Rodgers (ATL allow the 16th-most QB points), but you can defend either call.

Player	Wk 1	Proj (PPR)	Matchup	Form L3	Trade value	Status
Aaron Rodgers START	vs ATL	17.6	16th	13.5	126	healthy
Geno Smith	@ TEN	16.5	7th · soft	11	58	healthy

QBs vs ATL recently: Jacoby Brissett 11.6 pts (W16) · Matthew Stafford 15.8 pts (W17) · Tyler Shough 22.8 pts (W18).

QBs vs TEN recently: Chris Oladokun 5.1 pts (W16) · Tyler Shough 21.9 pts (W17) · Trevor Lawrence 23.3 pts (W18).

Who wins a straight-up trade?

Aaron Rodgers carries the higher trade value — 126 against 58 (a 54% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving Aaron Rodgers gets the most. Momentum: Aaron Rodgers +32 and Geno Smith -35 over the last 30 days.

Open in Start/Sit (any scoring) Open in the Trade Analyzer

More QB decisions

Aaron Rodgers or Cam Ward?Aaron Rodgers or Malik Willis?Aaron Rodgers or Daniel Jones?Geno Smith or Bryce Young?Geno Smith or Fernando Mendoza?Geno Smith or Jacoby Brissett?

Game logs, matchup ranks and form are the 2025 season — 2026 hasn’t kicked off. Projections, schedule and trade values are current 2026 numbers, refreshed nightly.