Aaron Rodgers · Kyler Murray · 2026 week 5

Aaron Rodgers or Kyler Murray?

Wondering who you should start this week — Aaron Rodgers or Kyler Murray? The start/sit call and the numbers behind it are below, plus who wins a straight-up trade. Rebuilt nightly.

Start Kyler Murray — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 0.3 points. The matchup leans Kyler Murray (NO allow the 17th-most QB points), but you can defend either call.

Player	Wk 5	Proj (PPR)	Matchup	Form L3	Trade value	Status
Aaron Rodgers	vs IND	16.4	6th · soft	17.6	127	healthy
Kyler Murray START	@ NO	16.7	17th	7.8	335	healthy

QBs vs IND recently: Patrick Mahomes 29 pts (W2) · C.J. Stroud 11.7 pts (W3) · Athan Kaliakmanis 12 pts (W4).

QBs vs NO recently: Lamar Jackson 15.8 pts (W2) · Kirk Cousins 22.2 pts (W3) · Michael Penix 12.7 pts (W4).

🎓 The coach's read

Projections are 0.3 apart — too close to call on projection alone.
Kyler Murray has the higher floor (7.2) — the safer start if you are favoured.
Kyler Murray has the higher ceiling (26.5) — the play if you need points.
Aaron Rodgers faces IND, 6th most generous to QBs.
Kyler Murray faces NO, 17th most generous to QBs.

Who wins a straight-up trade?

Kyler Murray carries the higher trade value — 335 against 127 (a 62% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving Kyler Murray gets the most. Momentum: Aaron Rodgers +37 and Kyler Murray -196 over the last 30 days.

Open in Start/Sit (any scoring) Open in the Trade Analyzer

More QB decisions

Aaron Rodgers or Deshaun Watson?Aaron Rodgers or Michael Penix?Kyler Murray or C.J. Stroud?Kyler Murray or Sam Darnold?Kyler Murray or Jacoby Brissett?

All numbers are the 2026 season, refreshed nightly.