Wondering who you should start this week — A.J. Brown or Garrett Wilson? The start/sit call and the numbers behind it are below, plus who wins a straight-up trade. Rebuilt nightly.
Start Garrett Wilson — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 0.9 points. The matchup leans Garrett Wilson (KC allow the 31st-most WR points), but you can defend either call.
Player
Wk 9
Proj (PPR)
Matchup
Form L3
Trade value
Status
A.J. Brown
vs GB
13.3
15th
6.4
2,415
Questionable
Garrett WilsonSTART
@ KC
14.2
31st · tough
9.1
3,433
Questionable
WRs vs GB recently: Ryan Flournoy 10 pts (W6) · Jameson Williams 21.1 pts (W7) · Jalen Coker 7.6 pts (W8).
Projections are 0.9 apart — too close to call on projection alone.
Garrett Wilson has the higher floor (6.4) — the safer start if you are favoured.
A.J. Brown has the higher ceiling (25) — the play if you need points.
A.J. Brown is boom-or-bust — about 12% more volatile week to week than a typical WR projected here — wider range in both directions.
Garrett Wilson is steady — about 11% less volatile week to week than a typical WR projected here — higher floor, lower ceiling.
A.J. Brown faces GB, 15th most generous to WRs.
Who wins a straight-up trade?
Garrett Wilson carries the higher trade value — 3,433 against 2,415 (a 30% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving Garrett Wilson gets the most.
Momentum: A.J. Brown -668 and Garrett Wilson -698 over the last 30 days.