Bo Nix · Justin Herbert · 2026 week 1

Bo Nix or Justin Herbert?

Wondering who you should start this week — Bo Nix or Justin Herbert? The start/sit call and the numbers behind it are below, plus who wins a straight-up trade. Rebuilt nightly.

Start Bo Nix — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 0.2 points. The matchup leans Bo Nix (KC allow the 20th-most QB points), but you can defend either call.
PlayerWk 1Proj (PPR)MatchupForm L3Trade valueStatus
Bo Nix START @ KC 20.3 20th 15.7 1,426 healthy
Justin Herbert vs ARI 20.1 14th 19.2 2,268 healthy

QBs vs KC recently: Cam Ward 18 pts (W16) · Bo Nix 20.5 pts (W17) · Aidan O'Connell 4.8 pts (W18).

QBs vs ARI recently: Kirk Cousins 18.6 pts (W16) · Joe Burrow 20.4 pts (W17) · Matthew Stafford 26.7 pts (W18).

Who wins a straight-up trade?

Justin Herbert carries the higher trade value — 2,268 against 1,426 (a 37% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving Justin Herbert gets the most. Momentum: Bo Nix -195 and Justin Herbert -38 over the last 30 days.

Open in Start/Sit (any scoring) Open in the Trade Analyzer

More QB decisions

Game logs, matchup ranks and form are the 2025 season — 2026 hasn’t kicked off. Projections, schedule and trade values are current 2026 numbers, refreshed nightly.