Bo Nix · Sam Darnold · 2026 week 4

Bo Nix or Sam Darnold?

Wondering who you should start this week — Bo Nix or Sam Darnold? The start/sit call and the numbers behind it are below, plus who wins a straight-up trade. Rebuilt nightly.

Start Bo Nix — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 1.2 points. The matchup leans Bo Nix (SF allow the 25th-most QB points), but you can defend either call.
PlayerWk 4Proj (PPR)MatchupForm L3Trade valueStatus
Bo Nix START @ SF 18.0 25th · tough 15.5 945 healthy
Sam Darnold vs LAC 16.8 11th 15.1 908 healthy

QBs vs SF recently: Matthew Stafford 5.1 pts (W1) · Malik Willis 12.5 pts (W2) · Jacoby Brissett 25.6 pts (W3).

QBs vs LAC recently: Jacoby Brissett 16.5 pts (W1) · Kirk Cousins 21.2 pts (W2) · Josh Allen 18.5 pts (W3).

Who wins a straight-up trade?

Bo Nix carries the higher trade value — 945 against 908 (a 4% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving Bo Nix gets the most. Momentum: Bo Nix -455 and Sam Darnold +570 over the last 30 days.

Open in Start/Sit (any scoring) Open in the Trade Analyzer

More QB decisions

All numbers are the 2026 season, refreshed nightly.