C.J. Stroud · Sam Darnold · 2026 week 1

C.J. Stroud or Sam Darnold?

Start Sam DarnoldSam Darnold projects 1.5 PPR points clear of C.J. Stroud in week 1, drawing NE — the 22nd-ranked matchup for QBs. The numbers behind the call are below; overrule them with your eyes open.
PlayerWk 1Proj (PPR)MatchupForm L3Trade valueStatus
C.J. Stroud vs BUF 17.4 29th · tough 14.9 155 healthy
Sam Darnold START vs NE 18.9 22nd 12.5 167 healthy

QBs vs BUF recently: Shedeur Sanders 13.2 pts (W16) · Jalen Hurts 8.9 pts (W17) · Brady Cook 9.1 pts (W18).

QBs vs NE recently: Lamar Jackson 4.7 pts (W16) · Brady Cook 5.2 pts (W17) · Quinn Ewers 9.4 pts (W18).

Who wins a straight-up trade?

Sam Darnold carries the higher trade value — 167 against 155 (a 7% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving Sam Darnold gets the most. Momentum: C.J. Stroud -72 and Sam Darnold -41 over the last 30 days.

Open in Start/Sit (any scoring) Open in the Trade Analyzer

More QB decisions

Game logs, matchup ranks and form are the 2025 season — 2026 hasn’t kicked off. Projections, schedule and trade values are current 2026 numbers, refreshed nightly.