Dalton Kincaid · Jake Ferguson · 2026 week 9

Dalton Kincaid or Jake Ferguson?

Wondering who you should start this week — Dalton Kincaid or Jake Ferguson? The start/sit call and the numbers behind it are below, plus who wins a straight-up trade. Rebuilt nightly.

Start Dalton Kincaid — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 1.4 points. The matchup leans Dalton Kincaid (MIN allow the 32nd-most TE points), but you can defend either call.

Player	Wk 9	Proj (PPR)	Matchup	Form L3	Trade value	Status
Dalton Kincaid START	@ MIN	9.7	32nd · tough	11	1,002	healthy
Jake Ferguson	@ IND	8.3	5th · soft	4.1	44	Questionable

TEs vs MIN recently: Juwan Johnson 1.6 pts (W5) · Drew Ogletree 1.2 pts (W7) · Sam LaPorta 3.5 pts (W8).

TEs vs IND recently: Pat Freiermuth 16.5 pts (W5) · T.J. Hockenson 9.5 pts (W7) · Nate Boerkircher 9.1 pts (W8).

🎓 The coach's read

Dalton Kincaid projects 1.4 points higher in PPR.
Dalton Kincaid faces MIN, 32nd most generous to TEs.
Jake Ferguson faces IND, 5th most generous to TEs.
Jake Ferguson is flagged WATCH.

Who wins a straight-up trade?

Dalton Kincaid carries the higher trade value — 1,002 against 44 (a 96% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving Dalton Kincaid gets the most. Momentum: Dalton Kincaid -605 and Jake Ferguson -416 over the last 30 days.

Open in Start/Sit (any scoring) Open in the Trade Analyzer

More TE decisions

Dalton Kincaid or Tyler Warren?Dalton Kincaid or Tucker Kraft?Dalton Kincaid or Travis Kelce?Jake Ferguson or Michael Mayer?Jake Ferguson or Chig Okonkwo?Jake Ferguson or Dalton Schultz?

All numbers are the 2026 season, refreshed nightly.