Dalton Kincaid · Jake Ferguson · 2026 week 1

Dalton Kincaid or Jake Ferguson?

Start Jake Ferguson — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 0.3 points. The matchup leans Jake Ferguson (NYG allow the 26th-most TE points), but you can defend either call.

Player	Wk 1	Proj (PPR)	Matchup	Form L3	Trade value	Status
Dalton Kincaid	@ HOU	9.4	21st	9.4	380	healthy
Jake Ferguson START	@ NYG	9.7	26th · tough	4.7	432	healthy

TEs vs HOU recently: Brock Bowers 9.3 pts (W16) · Oronde Gadsden 9.2 pts (W17) · Tyler Warren 2.6 pts (W18).

TEs vs NYG recently: Josh Oliver 1.9 pts (W16) · Michael Mayer 8.9 pts (W17) · Brevyn Spann-Ford 3 pts (W18).

Who wins a straight-up trade?

Jake Ferguson carries the higher trade value — 432 against 380 (a 12% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving Jake Ferguson gets the most. Momentum: Dalton Kincaid -35 and Jake Ferguson -152 over the last 30 days.

Open in Start/Sit (any scoring) Open in the Trade Analyzer

More TE decisions

Dalton Kincaid or Mark Andrews?Dalton Kincaid or Dallas Goedert?Jake Ferguson or Harold Fannin?Jake Ferguson or Isaiah Likely?Jake Ferguson or Mark Andrews?

Game logs, matchup ranks and form are the 2025 season — 2026 hasn’t kicked off. Projections, schedule and trade values are current 2026 numbers, refreshed nightly.