Wondering who you should start this week — Dalton Kincaid or Juwan Johnson? The start/sit call and the numbers behind it are below, plus who wins a straight-up trade. Rebuilt nightly.
Start Juwan Johnson — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 0.5 points. The matchup leans Juwan Johnson (CLE allow the 11th-most TE points), but you can defend either call.
Player
Wk 9
Proj (PPR)
Matchup
Form L3
Trade value
Status
Dalton Kincaid
@ MIN
9.7
32nd · tough
11
1,002
healthy
Juwan JohnsonSTART
vs CLE
10.2
11th
6.4
283
healthy
TEs vs MIN recently: Juwan Johnson 1.6 pts (W5) · Drew Ogletree 1.2 pts (W7) · Sam LaPorta 3.5 pts (W8).
TEs vs CLE recently: Josh Cuevas 10.4 pts (W6) · Gunnar Helm 2.4 pts (W7) · Pat Freiermuth 9.6 pts (W8).
🎓 The coach's read
Projections are 0.5 apart — too close to call on projection alone.
Juwan Johnson has the higher floor (4.2) — the safer start if you are favoured.
Juwan Johnson has the higher ceiling (17.8) — the play if you need points.
Dalton Kincaid is steady — about 12% less volatile week to week than a typical TE projected here — higher floor, lower ceiling.
Juwan Johnson is steady — about 18% less volatile week to week than a typical TE projected here — higher floor, lower ceiling.
Dalton Kincaid faces MIN, 32nd most generous to TEs.
Who wins a straight-up trade?
Dalton Kincaid carries the higher trade value — 1,002 against 283 (a 72% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving Dalton Kincaid gets the most.
Momentum: Dalton Kincaid -605 and Juwan Johnson -829 over the last 30 days.