David Montgomery · Rico Dowdle · 2026 week 1

David Montgomery or Rico Dowdle?

Wondering who you should start this week — David Montgomery or Rico Dowdle? The start/sit call and the numbers behind it are below, plus who wins a straight-up trade. Rebuilt nightly.

Start David Montgomery — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 1.4 points. The matchup leans David Montgomery (BUF allow the 7th-most RB points), but you can defend either call.
PlayerWk 1Proj (PPR)MatchupForm L3Trade valueStatus
David Montgomery START vs BUF 13.9 7th · soft 4.6 3,226 healthy
Rico Dowdle vs ATL 12.5 17th 6.9 1,679 healthy

RBs vs BUF recently: Trayveon Williams 5.5 pts (W16) · Saquon Barkley 6.8 pts (W17) · Andrew Beck 6.2 pts (W18).

RBs vs ATL recently: Michael Carter 6.5 pts (W16) · Kyren Williams 13 pts (W17) · Audric Estime 10.6 pts (W18).

Who wins a straight-up trade?

David Montgomery carries the higher trade value — 3,226 against 1,679 (a 48% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving David Montgomery gets the most. Momentum: David Montgomery +66 and Rico Dowdle +17 over the last 30 days.

Open in Start/Sit (any scoring) Open in the Trade Analyzer

More RB decisions

Game logs, matchup ranks and form are the 2025 season — 2026 hasn’t kicked off. Projections, schedule and trade values are current 2026 numbers, refreshed nightly.