Wondering who you should start this week — Deebo Samuel Sr. or Josh Downs? The start/sit call and the numbers behind it are below, plus who wins a straight-up trade. Rebuilt nightly.
Start Josh Downs — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 0.2 points. The matchup leans Josh Downs (DAL allow the 5th-most WR points), but you can defend either call.
WRs vs DAL recently: Matthew Golden 16.4 pts (W6) · Makai Lemon 12.7 pts (W7) · Michael Wilson 18.8 pts (W8).
🎓 The coach's read
Projections are 0.2 apart — too close to call on projection alone.
Josh Downs has the higher floor (4.8) — the safer start if you are favoured.
Deebo Samuel Sr. has the higher ceiling (19.4) — the play if you need points.
Deebo Samuel Sr. is steady — about 13% less volatile week to week than a typical WR projected here — higher floor, lower ceiling.
Josh Downs is steady — about 22% less volatile week to week than a typical WR projected here — higher floor, lower ceiling.
Deebo Samuel Sr. faces LV, 8th most generous to WRs.
Who wins a straight-up trade?
Deebo Samuel Sr. carries the higher trade value — 708 against 577 (a 19% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving Deebo Samuel Sr. gets the most.
Momentum: Deebo Samuel Sr. -563 and Josh Downs -220 over the last 30 days.