Jake Ferguson · Travis Kelce · 2026 week 1

Jake Ferguson or Travis Kelce?

Wondering who you should start this week — Jake Ferguson or Travis Kelce? The start/sit call and the numbers behind it are below, plus who wins a straight-up trade. Rebuilt nightly.

Start Travis Kelce — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 1.3 points. The matchup leans Travis Kelce (DEN allow the 17th-most TE points), but you can defend either call.
PlayerWk 1Proj (PPR)MatchupForm L3Trade valueStatus
Jake Ferguson @ NYG 9.7 25th · tough 4.7 736 healthy
Travis Kelce START vs DEN 11.0 17th 4.8 1,241 healthy

TEs vs NYG recently: Josh Oliver 1.9 pts (W16) · Michael Mayer 8.9 pts (W17) · Brevyn Spann-Ford 3 pts (W18).

TEs vs DEN recently: Brenton Strange 9.9 pts (W16) · Travis Kelce 3.6 pts (W17) · Oronde Gadsden 2.3 pts (W18).

Who wins a straight-up trade?

Travis Kelce carries the higher trade value — 1,241 against 736 (a 41% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving Travis Kelce gets the most. Momentum: Jake Ferguson -88 and Travis Kelce -244 over the last 30 days.

Open in Start/Sit (any scoring) Open in the Trade Analyzer

More TE decisions

Jake Ferguson or Dalton Kincaid?Jake Ferguson or Isaiah Likely?Travis Kelce or George Kittle?Travis Kelce or Kyle Pitts?Travis Kelce or Harold Fannin?
Game logs, matchup ranks and form are the 2025 season — 2026 hasn’t kicked off. Projections, schedule and trade values are current 2026 numbers, refreshed nightly.