Jared Goff · Patrick Mahomes · 2026 week 1

Jared Goff or Patrick Mahomes?

Wondering who you should start this week — Jared Goff or Patrick Mahomes? The start/sit call and the numbers behind it are below, plus who wins a straight-up trade. Rebuilt nightly.

Start Jared Goff — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 1.1 points. The matchup leans Jared Goff (NO allow the 27th-most QB points), but you can defend either call.

Player	Wk 1	Proj (PPR)	Matchup	Form L3	Trade value	Status
Jared Goff START	vs NO	20.3	27th · tough	15.6	837	healthy
Patrick Mahomes	vs DEN	19.2	25th · tough	17.6	1,558	Questionable

QBs vs NO recently: Brady Cook 4.7 pts (W16) · Cam Ward 17 pts (W17) · Kirk Cousins 10.2 pts (W18).

QBs vs DEN recently: Trevor Lawrence 31.2 pts (W16) · Chris Oladokun 7.7 pts (W17) · Trey Lance 9.3 pts (W18).

Who wins a straight-up trade?

Patrick Mahomes carries the higher trade value — 1,558 against 837 (a 46% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving Patrick Mahomes gets the most. Momentum: Jared Goff +120 and Patrick Mahomes -391 over the last 30 days.

Open in Start/Sit (any scoring) Open in the Trade Analyzer

More QB decisions

Jared Goff or Matthew Stafford?Jared Goff or Brock Purdy?Jared Goff or Baker Mayfield?Patrick Mahomes or Jayden Daniels?Patrick Mahomes or Justin Herbert?Patrick Mahomes or Dak Prescott?

Game logs, matchup ranks and form are the 2025 season — 2026 hasn’t kicked off. Projections, schedule and trade values are current 2026 numbers, refreshed nightly.