Wondering who you should start this week — Jared Goff or Patrick Mahomes? The start/sit call and the numbers behind it are below, plus who wins a straight-up trade. Rebuilt nightly.
Start Patrick Mahomes — barelyThis one is a coin flip — the projections are within 0.5 points. The matchup leans Patrick Mahomes (DEN allow the 21st-most QB points), but you can defend either call.
Player
Wk 8
Proj (PPR)
Matchup
Form L3
Trade value
Status
Jared Goff
vs MIN
16.3
32nd · tough
22.5
1,449
healthy
Patrick MahomesSTART
@ DEN
16.8
21st
11.8
1,263
healthy
QBs vs MIN recently: Malik Willis 2.5 pts (W4) · Tyler Shough 1.8 pts (W5) · Daniel Jones 4.6 pts (W7).
QBs vs DEN recently: Justin Herbert 11.2 pts (W5) · Sam Darnold 13 pts (W6) · Jacoby Brissett 16.5 pts (W7).
🎓 The coach's read
Projections are 0.5 apart — too close to call on projection alone.
Jared Goff has the higher floor (8) — the safer start if you are favoured.
Patrick Mahomes has the higher ceiling (25.1) — the play if you need points.
Jared Goff is steady — about 14% less volatile week to week than a typical QB projected here — higher floor, lower ceiling.
Patrick Mahomes is steady — about 10% less volatile week to week than a typical QB projected here — higher floor, lower ceiling.
Jared Goff faces MIN, 32nd most generous to QBs.
Who wins a straight-up trade?
Jared Goff carries the higher trade value — 1,449 against 1,263 (a 13% gap). In a one-for-one, the side receiving Jared Goff gets the most.
Momentum: Jared Goff +422 and Patrick Mahomes -829 over the last 30 days.